Sleeper Surges: A. Beauvillier at 3x
November 14, 2026
A. Beauvillier turned 2 points in his first 12 games into 3 in 6 for Washington and T.J. Hughes turned 4 points in 14 into 6 in 7 for Colorado, both landing at exactly 3.0x on baselines no higher than 0.29 PPG. Below sit tonight’s five new names, thirteen carryovers still holding 0.7 PPG or better, four players who fell off after one night and the full board.
What the slate said
Four quick reads before the full listing.
Both leads at 3.0x. A. Beauvillier went from 2 points in 12 to 3 in 6 for Washington and T.J. Hughes from 4 points in 14 games to 6 in 7 for Colorado, the same multiple, split only by goals.
One of five holds. Only Y. Sharangovich survived last night’s batch, still at 1.00 PPG; the other four finished below the 0.7 line overnight.
Thirteen carryovers hold. The group runs from E. Gustafsson’s 1.50 PPG down to 0.71, seven of them at 1.00 or better.
The two Dachs split. K. Dach of Montreal holds at 0.80 PPG; C. Dach of Edmonton finished at 0.60 and leaves the board.
New surges
Five first-time qualifiers, the leaders both on exactly 3.0x.
A. Beauvillier has 3 points in 6 games for Washington (0.50 PPG) after 2 points in his first 12 games, a 0.17 PPG baseline, the lowest on tonight’s board. His goal against New Jersey on Saturday was the third point of the window and earns him the top slot over T.J. Hughes on window goals.
T.J. Hughes carries 6 points in 7 games for Colorado (0.86 PPG), the fastest pace among the new names, after 4 points in 14 games (0.29 PPG) to open the season. A point in four straight games drives the 3.0x.
K. Palmieri put up 2 points against Anaheim on Saturday and runs 4 points in 5 games (0.80 PPG) for New York off a 4-point start through 14 games (0.29 PPG), a 2.8x.
N. Lundkvist sits at 3 points in 5 games (0.60 PPG) for Dallas after 3 points through his first 14 games (0.21 PPG), the same 2.8x, ranked behind Palmieri on pace.
J. McBain’s 4 points in 7 games (0.57 PPG) for Utah include a 3-point night against Vegas on Nov 11 and a goal against San Jose on Saturday. He opened the season at 3 points in 14 (0.21 PPG) for a 2.67x, taking the fifth slot over T. Foerster of Philadelphia, who posted an identical 4 points in 7 but no multi-point game.
Still surging
Thirteen carryovers from 1.50 PPG down to 0.71, kept on pace alone.
E. Gustafsson of Los Angeles (1.50 PPG, flagged Nov 14), S. Vilmanis of Florida (1.20, Nov 7) and Y. Sharangovich of Calgary (1.00, Nov 15) lead the group. J. Drysdale (Philadelphia, Nov 6), A. Copp (Detroit, Nov 13), S. Rinzel (Chicago, Nov 13) and E. Cernak (Tampa Bay, Nov 8) all hold exactly 1.00 PPG. A. Protas (0.83), A. Lundell (0.83), K. Dach (0.80), Z. Hyman (0.75), M. Barron (0.71) and P. Mintyukov (0.71) fill out the thirteen.
Faded off
Four names flagged one night ago finished under 0.7 PPG.
J. Norris (0.67 PPG), M. Chaffee (0.60), C. Dach (0.60) and E. Pohlkamp (0.50) all dropped below the retention line and leave the board.
The surge board
Eighteen listed players: five new by ratio, thirteen carryovers by 14-day PPG.
| Player | Team | GP | P | PPG (14d) | Baseline PPG | Ratio | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beauvillier | WSH | 6 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 3.0x | New |
| T.J. Hughes | COL | 7 | 6 | 0.86 | 0.29 | 3.0x | New |
| K. Palmieri | NYI | 5 | 4 | 0.80 | 0.29 | 2.8x | New |
| N. Lundkvist | DAL | 5 | 3 | 0.60 | 0.21 | 2.8x | New |
| J. McBain | UTA | 7 | 4 | 0.57 | 0.21 | 2.67x | New |
| E. Gustafsson | LAK | 2 | 3 | 1.50 | – | 3.33x | Since Nov 14 |
| S. Vilmanis | FLA | 5 | 6 | 1.20 | – | 5.5x | Since Nov 7 |
| J. Drysdale | PHI | 7 | 7 | 1.00 | – | 7.6x | Since Nov 6 |
| Y. Sharangovich | CGY | 6 | 6 | 1.00 | – | 6.5x | Since Nov 15 |
| E. Cernak | TBL | 5 | 5 | 1.00 | – | 5.5x | Since Nov 8 |
| S. Rinzel | CHI | 6 | 6 | 1.00 | – | 5.0x | Since Nov 13 |
| A. Copp | DET | 7 | 7 | 1.00 | – | 3.71x | Since Nov 13 |
| A. Protas | WSH | 6 | 5 | 0.83 | – | 5.0x | Since Nov 7 |
| A. Lundell | FLA | 6 | 5 | 0.83 | – | 4.33x | Since Nov 11 |
| K. Dach | MTL | 5 | 4 | 0.80 | – | 5.5x | Since Nov 8 |
| Z. Hyman | EDM | 4 | 3 | 0.75 | – | 6.0x | Since Nov 13 |
| M. Barron | WPG | 7 | 5 | 0.71 | – | 3.9x | Since Nov 9 |
| P. Mintyukov | ANA | 7 | 5 | 0.71 | – | 3.0x | Since Nov 14 |
Sleeper rule: season baseline of 0.3 PPG or less running at double it over the last 14 days. Once listed, a player stays until his 14-day pace drops below 0.7 PPG. Window: November 1 to November 14, 2026.
Pro Hockey Stats models the NHL in public. Every pick is graded on the Ledger, no deletions.