Projected NHL Final Standings

The same model that feeds The Ledger, run across all 1035 remaining games — expected points = 2 per win share + 1 per OT share. Violet numbers are projections; the dashed line is the projected playoff cut. Win probabilities per matchup come from our Poisson score model — the front-page playoff field shows the top 16 only; the odds page shows make-playoff percentages. Tap a column header to sort.


1	Carolina Hurricanes	20	32	115.7	+83.7
2	Minnesota Wild	21	32	105.5	+73.5
3	Tampa Bay Lightning	19	28	102.2	+74.2
4	New Jersey Devils	20	28	100.6	+72.6
5	Colorado Avalanche	20	25	100.6	+75.6
6	Vegas Golden Knights	20	28	99.3	+71.3
7	Edmonton Oilers	20	31	98.1	+67.1
8	Boston Bruins	19	27	95.9	+68.9
9	Dallas Stars	18	22	95	+73
10	Montréal Canadiens	19	28	94.3	+66.3
11	Utah Mammoth	20	22	91.1	+69.1
12	Ottawa Senators	20	26	89.3	+63.3
13	Florida Panthers	20	24	89.3	+65.3
14	Nashville Predators	19	25	87.8	+62.8
15	Washington Capitals	17	20	86.9	+66.9
16	New York Rangers	20	23	84.9	+61.9
17	Buffalo Sabres	19	20	84.9	+64.9
18	St. Louis Blues	19	20	81.8	+61.8
19	Anaheim Ducks	19	21	81.7	+60.7
20	Winnipeg Jets	20	21	81.1	+60.1
21	New York Islanders	18	20	80.6	+60.6
22	Detroit Red Wings	20	17	79.4	+62.4
23	Pittsburgh Penguins	19	16	78.2	+62.2
24	Seattle Kraken	17	19	76.9	+57.9
25	Columbus Blue Jackets	17	14	75.9	+61.9
26	Los Angeles Kings	17	12	75	+63
27	Calgary Flames	19	17	73.7	+56.7
28	Toronto Maple Leafs	21	18	73.5	+55.5
29	San Jose Sharks	21	18	72.7	+54.7
30	Philadelphia Flyers	21	16	70.1	+54.1
31	Chicago Blackhawks	19	11	56.7	+45.7
32	Vancouver Canucks	20	7	49.7	+42.7

Ranking is league-wide by projected points (goal differential breaks ties) — the league's own tiebreakers differ; see the odds page methodology for the CBA-seeding simulation that accounts for them.