Sleeper Surges: M. Chaffee, off the map

M. Chaffee turned six scoreless games into 3 points in 5 for New York and Y. Sharangovich turned 2 points in 13 into 6 in 6 for Calgary, a 1.00 PPG clip that runs 6.5x his season start and leads tonight’s five new names. Below sit the fresh surges, twelve carryovers still holding 0.7 PPG or better, three players who fell off after one day and the full board.

What moved

Four lines on who joined the board, who left it and who held.

Five new names. M. Chaffee (2 goals in 5 games) and E. Pohlkamp (1 goal in 6) arrive off zero baselines, with Y. Sharangovich at 6.5x, J. Norris at 3.11x and C. Dach at 3.0x.

Three off after one day. C. Glass, K. Miller and A. Hyry, flagged last night, finished this window at 0.57, 0.67 and 0.40 PPG and are gone.

Twelve hold the line. E. Gustafsson leads the carryovers at 1.50 PPG, S. Vilmanis follows at 1.20, and four players sit at exactly 1.00.

Blocked re-entries stay out. Eight mechanically qualifying players remain under the 0.7 pace line, N. Acciari (0.57) and E. Del Mastro (0.60) among them.

Fresh on the board

Five first-time qualifiers, ranked by 14-day pace against their season baselines.

M. Chaffee, NYI, 3 points in 5 games, off the map. He was scoreless in his first 6 games of the season. Two goals headline the 0.60 PPG fortnight that put him on the board.

E. Pohlkamp, SJS, 3 points in 6 games, off the map. Every point of his NHL career so far landed inside this window, one goal among them, good for a 0.50 PPG opening.

Y. Sharangovich, CGY, 6 points in 6 games, 6.5x. He carried a 0.15 PPG mark into the window, 2 points in 13 games, and answered with two-point nights on Nov 8 and Nov 14.

J. Norris, BUF, 4 points in 6 games, 3.11x. A 0.21 PPG start, 3 points in 14, lifted to 0.67 over the fortnight, with points in three of his last five games.

C. Dach, EDM, 3 points in 5 games, 3.0x. Two of his three points came in the window opener on Nov 1, and he held 0.60 PPG against a 0.20 baseline.

Still above the line

Twelve carryovers at 0.7 PPG or better, from 1.50 down to 0.71.

E. Gustafsson (LAK, 1.50 PPG, flagged Nov 14) and S. Vilmanis (FLA, 1.20, Nov 7) head the group. J. Drysdale (7 in 7), A. Copp (7 in 7), S. Rinzel (6 in 6) and E. Cernak (5 in 5) all hold exactly 1.00 PPG.

Below them, A. Protas and A. Lundell, both 5 in 6, sit at 0.83, K. Dach holds 0.80, Z. Hyman 0.75, and P. Mintyukov and M. Barron, both 5 in 7, close the group at 0.71.

Off the list

Three players flagged last night whose 14-day pace finished under 0.7.

C. Glass 4 in 7, K. Miller 4 in 6 and A. Hyry 2 in 5 all dropped below the 0.7 retention line and leave the board.

The full board

Seventeen listed players: five new names by ratio, twelve carryovers by 14-day PPG with the ratio each one carried at flag day.

Player	Team	GP	P	PPG (14d)	Baseline PPG	Ratio	Status
M. Chaffee	NYI	5	3	0.60	0.00	off the map	New
E. Pohlkamp	SJS	6	3	0.50	0.00	off the map	New
Y. Sharangovich	CGY	6	6	1.00	0.15	6.5x	New
J. Norris	BUF	6	4	0.67	0.21	3.11x	New
C. Dach	EDM	5	3	0.60	0.20	3.0x	New
E. Gustafsson	LAK	2	3	1.50	–	3.33x	Since Nov 14
S. Vilmanis	FLA	5	6	1.20	–	5.5x	Since Nov 7
J. Drysdale	PHI	7	7	1.00	–	7.6x	Since Nov 6
A. Copp	DET	7	7	1.00	–	3.71x	Since Nov 13
S. Rinzel	CHI	6	6	1.00	–	5.0x	Since Nov 13
E. Cernak	TBL	5	5	1.00	–	5.5x	Since Nov 8
A. Protas	WSH	6	5	0.83	–	5.0x	Since Nov 7
A. Lundell	FLA	6	5	0.83	–	4.33x	Since Nov 11
K. Dach	MTL	5	4	0.80	–	5.5x	Since Nov 8
Z. Hyman	EDM	4	3	0.75	–	6.0x	Since Nov 13
P. Mintyukov	ANA	7	5	0.71	–	3.0x	Since Nov 14
M. Barron	WPG	7	5	0.71	–	3.9x	Since Nov 9

Sleeper rule: season baseline of 0.3 PPG or less running at double it over the last 14 days. Once listed, a player stays until his 14-day pace drops below 0.7 PPG. Window: Nov 1 to Nov 14.

Pro Hockey Stats models the NHL in public. Every pick is graded on the Ledger, no deletions.