Sleeper Surges: N. Perbix, off the map
November 12, 2026
N. Perbix and A. Xhekaj post 4 points in 6 games apiece after 12 scoreless games to lead five new names, with A. Lundell holding the board’s best pace at 7 points in 6 games. Below sit the new surges, seven carryovers still at 0.7 PPG or better, seven who faded and the full board.
Takeaways
Four fresh entries, seven holds and seven exits across a 96-game window, Oct 30 to Nov 12.
Two Nashville defensemen qualify: N. Perbix (4 points in 6 games) and J. Struble (3 in 6) both cleared the bar in the same fortnight.
A. Lundell, flagged one night ago, now leads all listed players at 1.17 points per game over 6 games.
A. Protas stays on the board on pace alone: his pre-window baseline reads 0.42, but retention only asks whether the 14-day streak holds 0.7, and his does at 0.80.
Seven of last night’s 14 listed players finished the window under 0.7, led by D. Doughty at 1 point in 5 games.
New surges
Players at a 0.3 PPG season baseline or lower running at least double it over the last 14 days.
N. Perbix (Nashville) put up 4 points in 6 games, 0.67 per game. He was untouched before this run, with 0 points through 12 games.
A. Xhekaj (Montreal) went 4 points in 6 games, also 0.67 per game, after 0 points through his first 12 games.
V. Björk (Winnipeg) carries 4 points in 7 games, 0.57 per game, after a scoreless first 13 games.
A. Toropchenko (St. Louis) has 3 points in 6 games, 0.50 per game, after 0 points through his first 3 games.
J. Struble (Nashville) runs 3 points in 6 games, 0.50 per game, against 1 point through his first 12 games.
Still surging
Seven listed players whose 14-day pace held 0.7 points per game or better.
A. Lundell (Florida, first flagged Nov 11) leads at 7 points in 6 games, 1.17 per game. J. Drysdale (Philadelphia, Nov 6) adds 6 points in 6, and S. Vilmanis (Florida, Nov 7), E. Cernak (Tampa Bay, Nov 8) and K. Dach (Montreal, Nov 8) each hold a full point a game.
M. Barron (Winnipeg, Nov 9) sits at 6 points in 7 games, 0.86 per game, and A. Protas (Washington, Nov 7) at 4 points in 5, 0.80 per game.
Faded off
Seven listed players whose 14-day pace finished under 0.7 points per game.
J. Benn 3 in 5, N. Dobson 3 in 6, R. Colton 4 in 6, P. Tomasino 4 in 6, Q. Byfield 3 in 5, E. Del Mastro 3 in 5 and D. Doughty 1 in 5 all dropped below the 0.7 retention line and leave the board.
The surge board
Twelve listed players: new names by ratio, carryovers by pace with the ratio each one carried at flag day.
| Player | Team | GP | P | PPG (14d) | Baseline PPG | Ratio | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Perbix | NSH | 6 | 4 | 0.67 | 0.00 | off the map | New |
| A. Xhekaj | MTL | 6 | 4 | 0.67 | 0.00 | off the map | New |
| V. Björk | WPG | 7 | 4 | 0.57 | 0.00 | off the map | New |
| A. Toropchenko | STL | 6 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.00 | off the map | New |
| J. Struble | NSH | 6 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.08 | 3.0+ | New |
| A. Lundell | FLA | 6 | 7 | 1.17 | 0.23 | 4.3 | Since Nov 11 |
| J. Drysdale | PHI | 6 | 6 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 7.6 | Since Nov 6 |
| S. Vilmanis | FLA | 5 | 5 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 5.5 | Since Nov 7 |
| E. Cernak | TBL | 5 | 5 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 5.5 | Since Nov 8 |
| K. Dach | MTL | 4 | 4 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 5.5 | Since Nov 8 |
| M. Barron | WPG | 7 | 6 | 0.86 | 0.15 | 3.9 | Since Nov 9 |
| A. Protas | WSH | 5 | 4 | 0.80 | 0.42 | 5.0 | Since Nov 7 |
Sleeper rule: season baseline of 0.3 PPG or less running at double it over the last 14 days. Once listed, a player stays until his 14-day pace drops below 0.7 PPG. Window: October 30 to November 12.
Pro Hockey Stats models the NHL in public. Every pick is graded on the Ledger, no deletions.