Wins by season
Career NHL wins, ending with the projection at a 60-start workload (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 100?
Every fantasy goalie category, scored on the season model's projections at a 60-start workload:
- proj wins38 × 4.5+171
- proj shutouts3.2 × 3+9.6
- SV% 0.900 vs .9000 × 250+0
- GAA 2.95 vs 2.70-0.25 × 50-12.5
- total168 pool points · an elite goalie season scores 160168 = 100/100
Weights: a win is worth 4.5 (the heaviest goalie category in every format), a shutout 3, SV% pays 250 per full point above .900 and GAA pays 50 per hundredth below 2.70. 100 = a Vezina-tier season (~26 W, 6 SO, .918, 2.45). Projections shrink SV% toward career and league averages because save percentage repeats poorly year to year; wins lean on team quality for the same reason.
Season stats — goaltending
NHL regular-season goaltending numbers from the league's goalie feed — wins, GAA, save% and shutouts, season by season. Skater columns (G/A/P) would be all zeros for a goalie, so they're gone. The 60-start proj line is a model, not a pace: save% is projected with empirical-Bayes shrinkage toward career and league (save% is weakly repeatable — Schuckers 2016; a James–Stein study on NHL save% found shrinkage beats the raw estimate 2.2× in error), GAA is rebuilt from its SA/60 × (1−SV%) identity, shutouts are the Poisson zero probability at the projected goals-against rate (Buttrey & Washburn, JQAS 2011), and wins are regressed toward the league per-start rate because wins are mostly a team stat (Berri & Brook 2010). Backtested on 330 goalie seasons from our own data: 26% lower save% error and 16% lower GAA error than naive last-year pace. Hockey's honest truth: save% barely repeats, so this model shrinks hard on purpose.
| Season | Team | GP | GS | W | L | OT | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-18 | TBL | 82 | 81 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 2.61 | 91.9% | 8 |
| 18-19 | TBL | 57 | 57 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 2.49 | 92.1% | 6 |
| 19-20 | TBL | 77 | 77 | 53 | 21 | 3 | 2.32 | 92.0% | 4 |
| 20-21 | TBL | 65 | 65 | 47 | 17 | 1 | 2.10 | 92.9% | 10 |
| 21-22 | TBL | 86 | 86 | 53 | 27 | 5 | 2.50 | 91.8% | 3 |
| 22-23 | TBL | 66 | 66 | 36 | 26 | 4 | 2.74 | 91.2% | 4 |
| 23-24 | TBL | 57 | 57 | 31 | 24 | 2 | 2.93 | 90.0% | 2 |
| 24-25 | TBL | 68 | 68 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 2.26 | 91.8% | 6 |
| 25-26 | TBL | 65 | 65 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 2.29 | 91.1% | 3 |
| 26-27 | TBL | 14 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2.86 | 88.5% | 0 |
| 60-start proj | TBL | 60 | 60 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 2.95 | 90.0% | 3.2 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats