Jordan Greenway
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 21?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals7 × 3+21
- proj assists8 × 1+8
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots100 × 0.1+10
- PIM11 × 0.05+0.6
- ice time (min)1117 × 0.01+11.2
- total51 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24251 = 21/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 51 points is 21 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (16 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Availability: played 12 of 14 for CHI — missed 2 games (2026-11-02, 2026-11-05).
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U • −1.0
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 5.3% shooting on 19 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 9.3% (666 shots before this season) — that's 0.8 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (1.8 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 8.4%, worth PD −1.0 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | Wild | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2018-19 | Wild | 81 | 12 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 11.0% | 38.3% |
| 2019-20 | Wild | 67 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 2 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14:10 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 8.6% | 55.6% |
| 2020-21 | Wild | 56 | 6 | 26 | 32 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:48 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 7.5% | 48.5% |
| 2021-22 | Wild | 62 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:34 | 3 | 0 | 110 | 9.1% | 36.7% |
| 2022-23 | Wild | 45 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 2.9% | 25.0% |
| 2022-23 | Sabres | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Sabres | 67 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 11 | 64 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17:15 | 1 | 0 | 107 | 9.3% | 29.8% |
| 2024-25 | Sabres | 34 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 8.3% | 20.6% |
| 2025-26 | Sabres | 40 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 3.1% | 24.2% |
| 2026-27 | Blackhawks | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5.0% | 11.1% |
| 84-G proj | Blackhawks | 84 | 7 | 8 | 15 | — | 25 | — | 0 | — | 14:06 | — | — | 120 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 29 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Zack MacEwen (2022-22) · Garnet Hathaway (2025-25) · Kurtis MacDermid (2022-22) · Jordan Greenway (2025-25) · Barclay Goodrow (2025-25).
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Jordan over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Smith CHI | 85 | 10 | |
| Ryan Greene CHI | 71 | 10 | |
| Alex Vlasic CHI | 51 | 10 | |
| Wyatt Kaiser CHI | 48 | 10 | |
| Ian Cole CHI | 47 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats