Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 21?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals8 × 3+24
- proj assists12 × 1+12
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots42 × 0.1+4.2
- PIM19 × 0.05+1
- ice time (min)944 × 0.01+9.4
- total51 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24251 = 21/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 51 points is 21 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (18 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Off the net: 0.3 SOG/game lately vs 0.7 before — chances have dried up.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for BUF.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | Capitals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Capitals | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10.0% | 14.3% |
| 2022-23 | Capitals | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14.3% | 100.0% |
| 2023-24 | Capitals | 81 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 1 | 0 | 98 | 6.1% | 45.1% |
| 2024-25 | Sabres | 76 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -16 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 6.0% | 55.9% |
| 2025-26 | Sabres | 81 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 9.7% | 40.0% |
| 2026-27 | Sabres | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11.1% | 57.1% |
| 84-G proj | Sabres | 84 | 8 | 12 | 20 | — | 29 | — | 0 | — | 12:49 | — | — | 89 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 28 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Juho Lammikko (2021-21) · Tyler Pitlick (2023-23) · Kurtis MacDermid (2022-22) · Zack MacEwen (2022-22) · Cole Smith (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 · vs VGK | |||||
| P3 04:26 | EV | Goal | #? (Kozak, Samuelsson) → 1-2 | Carrick · Kozak Timmins · Samuelsson | Stone · Eichel · Connelly Hanifin · Coghlan Hill (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Beck over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Kozak BUF | 66 | 7 | |
| Mattias Samuelsson BUF | 60 | 10 | |
| Sam Carrick BUF | 49 | 7 | |
| Owen Power BUF | 45 | 10 | |
| Olen Zellweger BUF | 43 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats