Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 39?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals19 × 3+57
- proj assists19 × 1+19
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots84 × 0.1+8.4
- PIM42 × 0.05+2.1
- ice time (min)854 × 0.01+8.5
- total95 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24295 = 39/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 95 points is 39 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (4 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Availability: played 1 of 15 for VAN — missed 14 games (2026-11-03, 2026-11-05, 2026-11-07, 2026-11-09, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | Islanders | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:46 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12.5% | 52.2% |
| 2022-23 | Canucks | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 62.5% |
| 2024-25 | Canucks | 33 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 20.6% | 57.4% |
| 2025-26 | Canucks | 66 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 1 | 0 | 65 | 6.2% | 60.5% |
| 2026-27 | Canucks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% | 56.8% |
| 84-G proj | Maple Leafs | 84 | 19 | 19 | 38 | — | 42 | — | 0 | — | 13:55 | — | — | 127 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 23 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Aatu over the last 4 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Gallagher VAN | 25 | 3 | |
| Drew O'Connor VAN | 17 | 3 | |
| Filip Hronek VAN | 15 | 4 | |
| Zeev Buium VAN | 15 | 4 | |
| Tom Willander VAN | 14 | 4 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats