
Jaroslav Chmelar
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 29?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals15 × 3+45
- proj assists13 × 1+13
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots56 × 0.1+5.6
- PIM14 × 0.05+0.7
- ice time (min)701 × 0.01+7
- total71 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24271 = 29/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 71 points is 29 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (12 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Availability: played 7 of 14 for NYR — missed 7 games (2026-10-22, 2026-10-24, 2026-10-26, 2026-11-01, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Rangers | 28 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Rangers | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:21 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| 84-G proj | Rangers | 84 | 15 | 13 | 28 | — | 29 | — | 0 | — | 11:46 | — | — | 101 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 23 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 6 of 7 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 · @ EDM | |||||
| P2 05:05 | SH | Goal | Chmelar (Zibanejad) → 1-2 | Zibanejad · Cuylle · Chmelar · Laba Pettersson · Gavrikov · Fox · Robertson | Hyman · Nugent-Hopkins · Draisaitl · McDavid Bouchard Levi (G) |
| Nov 7 · @ SEA | |||||
| P1 13:53 | EV | Goal | Chmelar (Laba) → 3-0 | Zibanejad · Lafrenière · Rempe · Chmelar · Laba · Perreault Pettersson · Gavrikov · Fox | Samoskevich · Winterton · Nyman · Meyers Larsson · Dunn · Mahura · Ottavainen Grubauer (G) · Daccord (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Jaroslav over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Bjorkstrand NYR | 36 | 8 | |
| Braden Schneider NYR | 32 | 10 | |
| Marcus Pettersson NYR | 30 | 10 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov NYR | 30 | 10 | |
| Noah Laba NYR | 30 | 9 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats