Max Sasson
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 40?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals19 × 3+57
- proj assists15 × 1+15
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots97 × 0.1+9.7
- PIM71 × 0.05+3.6
- ice time (min)1066 × 0.01+10.7
- total96 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24296 = 40/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 96 points is 40 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (20 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for VAN.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▲ +1.8
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 21.7% shooting on 23 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 14.9% (93 shots before this season) — that's 1.6 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (3.4 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 16.8%, worth PD +1.8 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Canucks | 29 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 9.7% | 42.7% |
| 2025-26 | Canucks | 66 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 21.0% | 42.1% |
| 2026-27 | Canucks | 20 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21.7% | 43.0% |
| 84-G proj | Canucks | 84 | 19 | 15 | 34 | — | 60 | — | 1 | — | 13:38 | — | — | 116 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 26 that is 0%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 · @ EDM | |||||
| P1 19:51 | EV | Goal | Sasson (Oleksiak, Brisebois) → 1-1 | Karlsson · O'Connor · Sasson Oleksiak · Brisebois · Hronek · Buium | Hyman · Nugent-Hopkins · Kapanen · Frederic · Jones · Michaels Murphy · Shea · Emberson · Mukhamadullin Levi (G) |
| Oct 31 · vs TOR | |||||
| P3 09:27 | EV | Goal | Sasson (Gallagher) → 2-3 | Gallagher · Boeser · DeBrusk · Pettersson · Cotter · Sasson Oleksiak · Hronek · Pettersson · Willander | Blueger · Nylander · Roslovic · Matthews · Duhaime · MacEwen Tanev · Rielly · McCabe · Raddysh Stolarz (G) |
| Oct 25 · vs MIN | |||||
| P3 06:24 | EV | Goal | Sasson (Hronek, Pettersson) → 1-4 | Gallagher · Bains · Sasson Buium · Hronek · Pettersson | Trenin · Yurov · Shabanov Bogosian · Kiersted Pickard (G) |
| Oct 20 · vs CAR | |||||
| P2 13:07 | EV | Assist | Bains (Sasson, Buium) → 3-3 | Gallagher · O'Connor · Bains · Lekkerimaki · Ohgren · Sasson Schenn · Pettersson · Willander · Buium | Martinook · Robinson · Stankoven · Nadeau · Sörum Slavin · Chatfield · Walker · Miller Kochetkov (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Max over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Gallagher VAN | 57 | 9 | |
| Zeev Buium VAN | 46 | 10 | |
| Drew O'Connor VAN | 43 | 10 | |
| Filip Hronek VAN | 39 | 10 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak VAN | 38 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats