Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 35?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals13 × 3+39
- proj assists19 × 1+19
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots100 × 0.1+10
- PIM79 × 0.05+4
- ice time (min)1189 × 0.01+11.9
- total84 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24284 = 35/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 84 points is 35 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (16 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Minutes are shrinking: 12:60/game over the last 6, down 15% from 15:14 earlier in the season.
- Off the net: 0.7 SOG/game lately vs 1.4 before — chances have dried up.
- Cold window: 1.7 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 5.7/10 baseline — pace has fallen off.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 13 of 13 for LAK.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U • −0.1
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 10.5% shooting on 19 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 10.9% (1068 shots before this season) — that's 0.1 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (2.1 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 10.8%, worth PD −0.1 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-13 | Flyers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.0% | 44.2% |
| 2014-15 | Flyers | 31 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 3.9% | 47.3% |
| 2015-16 | Flyers | 71 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 8.2% | 43.8% |
| 2016-17 | Flyers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 55.0% |
| 2017-18 | Flyers | 81 | 10 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 9.3% | 52.0% |
| 2018-19 | Flyers | 82 | 12 | 20 | 32 | -11 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 9.2% | 54.2% |
| 2019-20 | Flyers | 49 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 2 | 0 | 74 | 17.6% | 53.9% |
| 2020-21 | Flyers | 53 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 1 | 1 | 89 | 10.1% | 49.0% |
| 2021-22 | Flyers | 67 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -9 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:25 | 1 | 1 | 110 | 10.0% | 51.0% |
| 2022-23 | Flyers | 78 | 18 | 25 | 43 | -9 | 50 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18:17 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 10.6% | 47.3% |
| 2023-24 | Flyers | 82 | 13 | 26 | 39 | -9 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15:39 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 7.8% | 48.9% |
| 2024-25 | Flyers | 60 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -17 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 10.5% | 49.6% |
| 2024-25 | Maple Leafs | 20 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10.0% | 54.7% |
| 2025-26 | Maple Leafs | 43 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:40 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 15.1% | 56.7% |
| 2025-26 | Kings | 21 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:46 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 11.9% | 59.4% |
| 2026-27 | Kings | 17 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10.0% | 56.8% |
| 84-G proj | Kings | 84 | 13 | 19 | 31 | — | 62 | — | 1 | — | 14:36 | — | — | 121 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 32 that is -3%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Kasperi Kapanen (2025-25) · William Carrier (2025-25) · Blake Lizotte (2025-25) · Nils Hoglander (2025-25) · Nico Sturm (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 · vs BUF | |||||
| P3 01:29 | EV | Assist | #? (Laughton, Armia) → 2-2 | Armia · Laughton Doughty · Edmundson | Malenstyn · Kozak · Benson Crevier · Zellweger Luukkonen (G) |
| Oct 26 · @ NYR | |||||
| P1 04:52 | EV | Assist | Clarke (Laughton, Armia) → 2-0 | Panarin · Laughton · Armia · Haula Gustafsson · Clarke | Raddysh · Kartye · Laba Durzi · Pettersson Reimer (G) |
| Oct 24 · @ NJD | |||||
| P2 15:57 | EV | Goal | Laughton (Kempe, Lee) → 1-0 | Kempe · Laughton · Lee Gustafsson · Clarke | Rodrigues · Meier · Mantha Hamilton · Siegenthaler Allen (G) |
| Oct 20 · @ WSH | |||||
| P3 18:15 | EV | Goal | Laughton (Armia, Haula) → 5-2 | Haula · Armia · Laughton Doughty · Edmundson | Protas · Miroshnichenko · Leonard · Protas Hutson Thompson (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Scott over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Armia LAK | 69 | 10 | |
| Drew Doughty LAK | 55 | 10 | |
| Andre Lee LAK | 55 | 10 | |
| Mikey Anderson LAK | 54 | 10 | |
| Brian Dumoulin LAK | 46 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats