Trevor Moore
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 39?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals14 × 3+42
- proj assists20 × 1+20
- PP points5 × 0.5+2.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots158 × 0.1+15.8
- PIM0 × 0.05+0
- ice time (min)1376 × 0.01+13.8
- total94 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24294 = 39/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 94 points is 39 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (16 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 13 of 13 for LAK.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▼ −1.9
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 6.7% shooting on 30 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 10.2% (1095 shots before this season) — that's 1.1 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (3.1 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 9.0%, worth PD −1.9 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | Maple Leafs | 25 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Maple Leafs | 27 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 7.3% | 25.0% |
| 2019-20 | Kings | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15.8% | 33.3% |
| 2020-21 | Kings | 56 | 10 | 13 | 23 | -5 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14:32 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 11.4% | 33.3% |
| 2021-22 | Kings | 81 | 17 | 31 | 48 | 20 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15:41 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 8.4% | 41.8% |
| 2022-23 | Kings | 59 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -2 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 16:59 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 6.1% | 35.9% |
| 2023-24 | Kings | 82 | 31 | 26 | 57 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 17:59 | 5 | 0 | 244 | 12.7% | 29.2% |
| 2024-25 | Kings | 71 | 18 | 22 | 40 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16:53 | 2 | 0 | 153 | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| 2025-26 | Kings | 69 | 13 | 19 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:44 | 2 | 1 | 159 | 8.2% | 21.1% |
| 2026-27 | Kings | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Kings | 84 | 14 | 20 | 33 | — | 19 | — | 2 | — | 15:52 | — | — | 150 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 31 that is -3%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Kasperi Kapanen (2025-25) · Blake Lizotte (2025-25) · Teddy Blueger (2025-25) · William Carrier (2025-25) · Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 · vs BUF | |||||
| P2 17:24 | PP | Assist | #? (Moore, Clarke) → 1-2 | Haula · Moore Doughty · Clarke | Malenstyn · Kozak Samuelsson · Power Luukkonen (G) |
| Oct 29 · vs OTT | |||||
| P2 06:51 | EV | Goal | Moore (Byfield, Doughty) → 2-1 | Perry · Moore · Byfield Doughty · Dumoulin | Giroux · Zetterlund · Pinto Kleven · Sanderson Johansson (G) |
| Oct 26 · @ NYR | |||||
| P1 01:15 | EV | Assist | #? (Doughty, Moore) → 1-0 | Moore · Byfield Edmundson · Doughty | Lafrenière · Zibanejad · Perreault Durzi · Pettersson Reimer (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Trevor over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty LAK | 77 | 10 | |
| Quinton Byfield LAK | 70 | 10 | |
| Corey Perry LAK | 67 | 10 | |
| Erik Haula LAK | 62 | 10 | |
| Joel Edmundson LAK | 58 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats