Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 23?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals10 × 3+30
- proj assists14 × 1+14
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots14 × 0.1+1.4
- PIM28 × 0.05+1.4
- ice time (min)769 × 0.01+7.7
- total55 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24255 = 23/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 55 points is 23 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (6 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Did not play the last 10 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 4 of 15 for BUF — missed 11 games (2026-11-06, 2026-11-08, 2026-11-11, 2026-11-12, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | Blue Jackets | 45 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:34 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 13.9% | 53.8% |
| 2022-23 | Blue Jackets | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20.0% | 30.8% |
| 2023-24 | Blue Jackets | 71 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 11.6% | 48.5% |
| 2024-25 | Blue Jackets | 61 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -6 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14:23 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 9.6% | 49.5% |
| 2025-26 | Sabres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 54.8% |
| 2026-27 | Sabres | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| 84-G proj | Sabres | 84 | 10 | 14 | 24 | — | 38 | — | 0 | — | 13:10 | — | — | 105 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 33 that is -4%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Justin over the last 6 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beck Malenstyn BUF | 39 | 6 | |
| Mattias Samuelsson BUF | 29 | 6 | |
| Owen Power BUF | 19 | 6 | |
| Ryan McLeod BUF | 19 | 5 | |
| Peyton Krebs BUF | 18 | 6 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats