Alexandre Texier
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 33?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals11 × 3+33
- proj assists16 × 1+16
- PP points5 × 0.5+2.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots135 × 0.1+13.5
- PIM47 × 0.05+2.4
- ice time (min)1124 × 0.01+11.2
- total79 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24279 = 33/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 79 points is 33 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (18 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Shooting more: 2.8 SOG/game lately vs 1.6 before — volume is there even if points lag.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for MTL.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▼ −2.2
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 6.9% shooting on 29 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 11.9% (422 shots before this season) — that's 1.5 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (3.5 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 10.3%, worth PD −2.2 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | Blue Jackets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Blue Jackets | 36 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:45 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 12.2% | 36.5% |
| 2020-21 | Blue Jackets | 49 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -13 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 5.3% | 36.0% |
| 2021-22 | Blue Jackets | 36 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 18.6% | 35.1% |
| 2023-24 | Blue Jackets | 78 | 12 | 18 | 30 | -5 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 11.0% | 31.6% |
| 2024-25 | Blues | 31 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:29 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Blues | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 2025-26 | Canadiens | 43 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:17 | 1 | 0 | 67 | 11.9% | 13.3% |
| 2026-27 | Canadiens | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Canadiens | 84 | 11 | 16 | 27 | — | 45 | — | 2 | — | 14:06 | — | — | 136 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 27 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Rudolfs Balcers (2021-21) · Kirby Dach (2025-25) · Matthew Wood (2025-25) · Max Jones (2023-23) · Collin Graf (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 · vs PIT | |||||
| P2 01:54 | EV | Goal | #? (Hutson, #?) → 3-2 | Kreider · Evans Hutson · Engstrom | Malkin · Chinakhov · Kindel Karlsson · Carlile Murashov (G) |
| Oct 27 · @ STL | |||||
| P2 08:37 | EV | Assist | Bolduc (Matheson, Texier) → 1-0 | Newhook · Kreider · Bolduc · Texier Matheson | Thomas · Suter · Buchnevich Fowler · Carlo Binnington (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Alexandre over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bolduc MTL | 107 | 10 | |
| Phillip Danault MTL | 104 | 10 | |
| Noah Dobson MTL | 60 | 10 | |
| Lane Hutson MTL | 49 | 10 | |
| Kaiden Guhle MTL | 45 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats