Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 22?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals8 × 3+24
- proj assists16 × 1+16
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots39 × 0.1+3.9
- PIM13 × 0.05+0.7
- ice time (min)886 × 0.01+8.9
- total54 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24254 = 22/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 54 points is 22 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (13 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Off the net: 0.0 SOG/game lately vs 0.8 before — chances have dried up.
- Did not play the last 2 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 12 of 17 for MIN — missed 5 games (2026-10-15, 2026-10-18, 2026-11-10, 2026-11-12, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | Wild | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 29.4% |
| 2019-20 | Wild | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 53.1% |
| 2020-21 | Wild | 50 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:51 | 2 | 0 | 64 | 17.2% | 51.5% |
| 2021-22 | Wild | 53 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:33 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 12.3% | 52.0% |
| 2021-22 | Avalanche | 21 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0.0% | 54.6% |
| 2022-23 | Sharks | 74 | 14 | 12 | 26 | -13 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 1 | 0 | 119 | 11.8% | 55.8% |
| 2023-24 | Sharks | 63 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -25 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 7.2% | 60.1% |
| 2024-25 | Sharks | 47 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 18.4% | 62.7% |
| 2024-25 | Panthers | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0.0% | 51.0% |
| 2025-26 | Wild | 49 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:57 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 13.5% | 55.1% |
| 2026-27 | Wild | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% | 64.3% |
| 84-G proj | Wild | 84 | 8 | 16 | 24 | — | 28 | — | 0 | — | 12:46 | — | — | 95 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 31 that is -3%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 · @ WSH | |||||
| P1 03:42 | EV | Assist | #? (Brodin, Sturm) → 1-0 | Pitlick · Hartman · Sturm Brodin | Ovechkin · Beauvillier · Sourdif Liljegren · Fehervary Thompson (G) |
| Oct 22 · @ CGY | |||||
| P3 04:39 | EV | Assist | McCarron (Sturm, Brodin) → 1-2 | Pitlick · McCarron · Sturm Brodin · Hughes | Castagna · Klapka · Othmann Kuznetsov · Nemec Cooley (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Nico over the last 9 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McCarron MIN | 33 | 7 | |
| Tyler Pitlick MIN | 32 | 5 | |
| Jonas Brodin MIN | 31 | 9 | |
| Ryan Hartman MIN | 31 | 7 | |
| Zach Bogosian MIN | 29 | 8 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats