Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 29?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals10 × 3+30
- proj assists18 × 1+18
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots53 × 0.1+5.3
- PIM102 × 0.05+5.1
- ice time (min)1048 × 0.01+10.5
- total69 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24269 = 29/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 69 points is 29 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (19 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Minutes are shrinking: 9:29/game over the last 6, down 28% from 13:12 earlier in the season.
- Off the net: 0.2 SOG/game lately vs 0.7 before — chances have dried up.
- Cold window: 0.0 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 4.0/10 baseline — pace has fallen off.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 16 of 16 for COL.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Predators | 52 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -17 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12:53 | 2 | 1 | 64 | 12.5% | 36.7% |
| 2025-26 | Predators | 70 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:05 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 5.7% | 42.8% |
| 2026-27 | Avalanche | 20 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16.7% | 51.1% |
| 84-G proj | Avalanche | 84 | 10 | 18 | 27 | — | 77 | — | 0 | — | 13:31 | — | — | 94 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 23 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Rem Pitlick (2022-22) · Cole Koepke (2025-25) · Collin Graf (2025-25) · Martin Pospisil (2024-24) · Kyle Turris (2020-20).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs NJD | |||||
| P3 03:47 | EV | Assist | Kelly (Burns, Svechkov) → 3-1 | Svechkov · Kelly · O'Connor Kulak · Burns | Rodrigues · Mantha · Boqvist Hamilton · Siegenthaler Allen (G) |
| Oct 23 · vs TBL | |||||
| P2 00:24 | EV | Goal | Svechkov (Schwartz) → 3-0 | Svechkov · Hughes · Schwartz Manson · Burns | Girgensons · Holmberg · Mikheyev McDonagh · Cernak Vasilevskiy (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Fedor over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Kelly COL | 74 | 10 | |
| Logan O'Connor COL | 47 | 6 | |
| Brent Burns COL | 44 | 10 | |
| Sam Malinski COL | 42 | 10 | |
| Brett Kulak COL | 37 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats