
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 31?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals12 × 3+36
- proj assists16 × 1+16
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots107 × 0.1+10.7
- PIM46 × 0.05+2.3
- ice time (min)1007 × 0.01+10.1
- total75 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24275 = 31/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 75 points is 31 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (11 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Minutes are shrinking: 10:58/game over the last 6, down 17% from 13:13 earlier in the season.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: played 12 of 15 for MTL — missed 3 games (2026-10-10, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-14).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Canadiens | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.0% | 42.9% |
| 2025-26 | Canadiens | 82 | 22 | 15 | 37 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14:28 | 2 | 0 | 131 | 16.8% | 45.5% |
| 2026-27 | Canadiens | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6.3% | 40.5% |
| 84-G proj | Canadiens | 84 | 12 | 16 | 28 | — | 44 | — | 1 | — | 13:39 | — | — | 125 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 23 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 · @ TOR | |||||
| P1 05:56 | EV | Assist | Newhook (Kapanen) → 1-0 | Dach · Newhook · Kapanen Carrier · Guhle | Blueger · Duhaime · McKenna Tanev · McCabe Bobrovsky (G) |
| Oct 31 · vs PIT | |||||
| P1 02:41 | EV | Goal | #? (Beck, Xhekaj) → 1-1 | Beck · Xhekaj Xhekaj · Hutson | Dewar · Lizotte · Robertson Letang · Carlile Murashov (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Oliver over the last 9 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Dach MTL | 54 | 7 | |
| Alex Newhook MTL | 49 | 9 | |
| Noah Dobson MTL | 40 | 9 | |
| Lane Hutson MTL | 33 | 9 | |
| Arber Xhekaj MTL | 31 | 9 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats