Brock Boeser
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 67?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals25 × 3+75
- proj assists35 × 1+35
- PP points42 × 0.5+21
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots139 × 0.1+13.9
- PIM34 × 0.05+1.7
- ice time (min)1602 × 0.01+16
- total163 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242163 = 67/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 163 points is 67 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (20 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for VAN.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check overperforming O/U ▲ +3.6
- TRADE VALUE: ABOVE PACE — mildly. A good offer now prices in shooting luck most leagues won't keep paying for.
- 21.2% shooting on 33 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 14.0% (1586 shots before this season) — that's 2.4 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (4.6 expected goals). over pace. His shrunk talent rate is 16.5%, worth PD +3.6 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His linemates (Pettersson 16.0%, Hronek 4.5%, DeBrusk 12.2%, Buium 0.0%) aren't running hot alongside him — the goal surge looks individual, so the assist regression risk is smaller than the goal risk.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | Canucks | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:13 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| 2017-18 | Canucks | 62 | 29 | 26 | 55 | -5 | 16 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 17:30 | 4 | 0 | 179 | 16.2% | 25.6% |
| 2018-19 | Canucks | 69 | 26 | 30 | 56 | -2 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 19:10 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 12.4% | 43.3% |
| 2019-20 | Canucks | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 18:34 | 3 | 0 | 169 | 9.5% | 36.7% |
| 2020-21 | Canucks | 56 | 23 | 26 | 49 | -3 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 19:19 | 1 | 0 | 141 | 16.3% | 36.4% |
| 2021-22 | Canucks | 71 | 23 | 23 | 46 | -5 | 20 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 18:36 | 6 | 1 | 195 | 11.8% | 50.9% |
| 2022-23 | Canucks | 74 | 18 | 37 | 55 | -20 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 17:14 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 10.1% | 38.6% |
| 2023-24 | Canucks | 81 | 40 | 33 | 73 | 23 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 0 | 18:36 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 19.6% | 52.0% |
| 2024-25 | Canucks | 75 | 25 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 18:10 | 3 | 0 | 145 | 17.2% | 27.3% |
| 2025-26 | Canucks | 75 | 22 | 26 | 48 | -48 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 19:03 | 3 | 1 | 166 | 13.3% | 41.9% |
| 2026-27 | Canucks | 20 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -11 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 19:04 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 21.2% | 40.0% |
| 84-G proj | Canucks | 84 | 25 | 35 | 59 | — | 37 | — | 28 | — | 17:37 | — | — | 143 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 29 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Valeri Nichushkin (2025-25) · Mikael Granlund (2025-25) · Rickard Rakell (2025-25) · Josh Norris (2025-25) · Joel Eriksson Ek (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 · vs PHI | |||||
| P3 12:44 | PP | Assist | #? (Boeser, Pettersson) → 1-2 | Boeser · DeBrusk · Pettersson Hronek | Dvorak · Cates Sanheim · York Woll (G) |
| Nov 7 · @ EDM | |||||
| P3 17:25 | EV | Goal | #? (Hronek, Pettersson) → 2-3 | DeBrusk · Pettersson · Rossi · Lekkerimaki Hronek | Hyman · Draisaitl · McDavid Murphy · Shea Levi (G) |
| Nov 5 · @ WPG | |||||
| P3 15:09 | EV | Goal | #? (Quillan) → 2-6 | DeBrusk · Quillan Oleksiak · Buium | Scheifele · Connor · Vilardi Ferraro · Bauer Skinner (G) |
| Nov 3 · vs ANA | |||||
| P3 05:30 | PP | Assist | #? (Pettersson, Boeser) → 3-5 | Boeser · Pettersson · Lekkerimaki Hronek | Granlund · Carlsson Mintyukov · Mitchell Brossoit (G) |
| Oct 31 · vs TOR | |||||
| P1 10:30 | PP | Goal | #? (Hronek, Lekkerimaki) → 1-1 | DeBrusk · Pettersson · Lekkerimaki Hronek | Sissons · Blueger Tanev · McCabe Stolarz (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Brock over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Pettersson VAN | 131 | 10 | |
| Filip Hronek VAN | 123 | 10 | |
| Jake DeBrusk VAN | 93 | 10 | |
| Zeev Buium VAN | 64 | 10 | |
| Elias Pettersson VAN | 56 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats