Cole Sillinger
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 45?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals19 × 3+57
- proj assists22 × 1+22
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots142 × 0.1+14.2
- PIM42 × 0.05+2.1
- ice time (min)1301 × 0.01+13
- total108 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242108 = 45/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 108 points is 45 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (16 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 14 of 14 for CBJ.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▲ +2.4
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 14.8% shooting on 27 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 9.3% (527 shots before this season) — that's 1.5 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (2.5 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 11.0%, worth PD +2.4 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | Blue Jackets | 79 | 16 | 15 | 31 | -22 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:42 | 3 | 0 | 148 | 10.8% | 46.5% |
| 2022-23 | Blue Jackets | 64 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -23 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13:19 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 3.2% | 44.3% |
| 2023-24 | Blue Jackets | 77 | 13 | 19 | 32 | -4 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:07 | 1 | 0 | 157 | 8.3% | 46.3% |
| 2024-25 | Blue Jackets | 66 | 11 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16:55 | 2 | 1 | 129 | 8.5% | 46.2% |
| 2025-26 | Blue Jackets | 81 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:13 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 5.9% | 41.4% |
| 2026-27 | Blue Jackets | 17 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 14.3% | 58.3% |
| 84-G proj | Blue Jackets | 84 | 19 | 22 | 40 | — | 42 | — | 1 | — | 15:21 | — | — | 141 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 23 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Alexandre Texier (2025-25) · Robby Fabbri (2024-24) · Andreas Johnsson (2021-21) · Juuso Parssinen (2024-24) · Kent Johnson (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 · vs COL | |||||
| P2 07:20 | EV | Goal | Sillinger (Werenski, Olivier) → 4-1 | Coyle · Monahan · Nichushkin · Garland · Olivier · Sillinger Severson · Werenski · Fabbro · Christiansen | Lehkonen · MacKinnon · Necas · Kelly · O'Connor · Svechkov Burns · Toews · Makar · Malinski Wedgewood (G) · Blackwood (G) |
| P3 11:21 | EV | Assist | Coyle (Sillinger, Severson) → 7-2 | Coyle · Monahan · Nichushkin · Garland · Olivier · Sillinger Severson · Werenski | Lehkonen · MacKinnon · Necas · Kelly · O'Connor · Svechkov Burns · Kulak · Juulsen · Malinski Blackwood (G) |
| Oct 20 · vs TOR | |||||
| P3 04:13 | EV | Assist | Coyle (Sillinger, Andrae) → 2-5 | Coyle · Olivier · Johnson · Sillinger · Knies · Fantilli Gudbranson · Severson · Werenski · Andrae | Blueger · Roslovic · Matthews · Lettieri · Marchenko · Cowan Ekman-Larsson · Rielly · Raddysh · Stecher Stolarz (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Cole over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Olivier CBJ | 101 | 10 | |
| Charlie Coyle CBJ | 99 | 10 | |
| Zach Werenski CBJ | 72 | 10 | |
| Damon Severson CBJ | 64 | 10 | |
| Denton Mateychuk CBJ | 55 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats