Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 45?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals9 × 3+27
- proj assists22 × 1+22
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots73 × 0.1+7.3
- PIM39 × 0.05+2
- ice time (min)1620 × 0.01+16.2
- total75 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16675 = 45/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 75 points is 45 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (15 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Trust is growing: 21:05/game over the last 6, up 27% from 16:33 earlier in the season.
- Availability: played 11 of 15 for ANA — missed 4 games (2026-10-22, 2026-10-24, 2026-10-27, 2026-10-29).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Ducks | 63 | 4 | 24 | 28 | -20 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 18:51 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Ducks | 68 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -4 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:36 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Ducks | 73 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -3 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:26 | 2 | 0 | 79 | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Ducks | 15 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Ducks | 84 | 9 | 22 | 31 | — | 43 | — | 1 | — | 19:12 | — | — | 88 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 22 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Olen Zellweger (2025-25) · Oliver Kylington (2023-23) · Denton Mateychuk (2025-25) · Simon Nemec (2025-25) · Pavel Mintyukov (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 9 of 10 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 · @ EDM | |||||
| P2 03:37 | EV | Goal | #? (Sennecke, Helleson) → 2-2 | Granlund · Gauthier · Sennecke Helleson | Dickinson · Joseph · Dach Walman · Mukhamadullin Tomkins (G) |
| P2 06:15 | EV | Goal | #? (Caulfield, Granlund) → 3-2 | Granlund · Caulfield Luneau | Nugent-Hopkins · Dach Murphy · Shea Tomkins (G) |
| P2 19:22 | EV | Assist | #? (Luneau, Mintyukov) → 4-2 | Gauthier · Carlsson Luneau · Mintyukov | Draisaitl · McDavid · Michaels Ekholm · Bouchard Tomkins (G) |
| Nov 3 · @ VAN | |||||
| P2 02:58 | SH | Assist | #? (Mintyukov, Granlund) → 3-1 | Granlund Mintyukov · Warren | Boeser · DeBrusk · Pettersson · Lekkerimaki Hronek Lankinen (G) |
| Oct 19 · @ NYR | |||||
| P3 19:27 | EV | Assist | Greer (Mintyukov) → 2-5 | Greer · Washe · Klepov Mintyukov · Warren | Tolvanen · Cuylle · Laba Schneider · Smits Garand (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Pavel over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Luneau ANA | 66 | 10 | |
| Noah Warren ANA | 58 | 10 | |
| Tim Washe ANA | 54 | 10 | |
| Alex Killorn ANA | 53 | 10 | |
| Mikael Granlund ANA | 50 | 9 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats