Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 27?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals7 × 3+21
- proj assists19 × 1+19
- PP points9 × 0.5+4.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots66 × 0.1+6.6
- PIM44 × 0.05+2.2
- ice time (min)1168 × 0.01+11.7
- total65 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24265 = 27/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 65 points is 27 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (19 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for WPG.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check underperforming O/U ▼ −1.8
- TRADE VALUE: BELOW PACE — mildly. Cheap production relative to the underlying play.
- 0.0% shooting on 15 shots against a league forward baseline of 13.5% — no career track record yet — that's 2.0 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (2.0 expected goals). under pace. His shrunk talent rate is 10.8%, worth PD −1.8 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Jets | 20 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:57 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.0% | 38.6% |
| 84-G proj | Jets | 84 | 7 | 19 | 26 | — | 43 | — | 8 | — | 14:24 | — | — | 102 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 18 that is 5%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 · vs NJD | |||||
| P3 11:58 | PP | Assist | #? (Iafallo, Björck) → 3-2 | Iafallo · Yager · Björck Pionk | Brown · Glass Dillon · Hamilton Allen (G) |
| Nov 8 · vs TBL | |||||
| P2 12:38 | EV | Assist | #? (Pionk, Björck) → 2-0 | Vilardi · Björck Samberg · Pionk | Gourde · Holmberg · Geekie Cernak · D'Astous Vasilevskiy (G) |
| P3 08:10 | PP | Assist | #? (Björck, Iafallo) → 3-0 | Iafallo · Mercer · Björck Fleury | Girgensons · Mikheyev McDonagh · Moser Vasilevskiy (G) |
| Nov 5 · vs VAN | |||||
| P2 11:36 | EV | Assist | #? (Connor, Björck) → 5-1 | Connor · Björck DeMelo · Ferraro | Boeser · DeBrusk · Pettersson Hronek · Buium Merilainen (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Viggo over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Iafallo WPG | 78 | 10 | |
| Dylan Samberg WPG | 58 | 10 | |
| Adam Lowry WPG | 50 | 9 | |
| Neal Pionk WPG | 49 | 10 | |
| Dylan DeMelo WPG | 46 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats