← Back 2 games on November 13, 2026. Every cell shows PROJ (our odds, built from the league's own starter flags over the season) or ✓ — starter confirmed: named by the club's own media room (quote and link in the fold, before the league's puck-drop flag) or by the league itself at puck drop. Every ✓ says who named him, when, and where. Expand any call for the exact numbers behind it.
Rested, and the last starter came off a SINGLE start: teams mostly flip. NYR itself went 4/7 in this spot this season; league-wide 192/320. Our 59% blends the two. → D. Garand. 7 of the team's last 10 starts came from him in his share of the last 10 starts. Last start on record: Nov 10.
updated 2:36 AM ET
VANUPDATE PENDING
Why we call this
No credible source yet, and the model sits at 52% — a coin flip, so we make no call here. This crease updates the moment a club release, beat report, or warm-up list lands; the league's puck-drop flag is final.
Rested, and the last starter came off a SINGLE start: teams mostly flip. NSH itself went 6/10 in this spot this season; league-wide 192/320. Our 60% blends the two. → J. Saros. 6 of the team's last 10 starts came from him in his share of the last 10 starts. Last start on record: Nov 10.
updated 2:36 AM ET
VGK≈ 77%
A. Hill
Why we call this
Rested, and the last starter came off a SINGLE start: teams mostly flip. VGK itself went 13/15 in this spot this season; league-wide 192/320. Our 77% blends the two. → A. Hill. 5 of the team's last 10 starts came from him in his share of the last 10 starts. Last start on record: Nov 10.
updated 2:36 AM ET
Accuracy archive
Read more — how these calls are graded
Every projected starter is frozen in our database the moment it appears on this page and graded against the league's confirmation — our graded call is the FINAL state the board showed before the puck (a correction before drop is our call; nothing moves after it), misses stay here forever. Same rules as the projection ledger.
Archive runs 39 nights back from tonight (every game night since opener). · Expected Saves board → Graded calls this season: 35/66.
Showing 10 nights back from tonight. Open a night for the full board — “Our call” appears from Nov 9 forward; picks are frozen the moment they hit the board, and the league's own box-score starter flag is the grade.