K'Andre Miller
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 49?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals6 × 3+18
- proj assists30 × 1+30
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots126 × 0.1+12.6
- PIM34 × 0.05+1.7
- ice time (min)1862 × 0.01+18.6
- total81 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16681 = 49/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 81 points is 49 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (20 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Hot window: 6.7 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 2.2/10 season baseline.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for CAR.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▼ −1.6
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 3.3% shooting on 30 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 7.1% (606 shots before this season) — that's 1.1 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (2.1 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 5.9%, worth PD −1.6 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | Rangers | 53 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:07 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Rangers | 82 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:36 | 2 | 1 | 102 | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 2022-23 | Rangers | 79 | 9 | 34 | 43 | 12 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21:57 | 2 | 0 | 113 | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Rangers | 80 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:34 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Rangers | 74 | 7 | 20 | 27 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:57 | 1 | 0 | 110 | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Hurricanes | 72 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 7 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22:24 | 1 | 0 | 123 | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Hurricanes | 20 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:10 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Hurricanes | 84 | 6 | 30 | 35 | — | 39 | — | 2 | — | 21:00 | — | — | 117 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 26 that is 0%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Hampus Lindholm (2025-25) · Aaron Ekblad (2025-25) · Drew Doughty (2025-25) · Ryan McDonagh (2025-25) · John Marino (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 · @ SEA | |||||
| P1 11:44 | EV | Assist | #? (Miller, Stankoven) → 1-0 | Stankoven · Blake Walker · Miller | Kakko · Wood · Catton Larsson · Dunn Grubauer (G) |
| P3 11:41 | EV | Assist | #? (Miller, Svechnikov) → 4-0 | Martinook · Svechnikov Walker · Miller | Eberle · McMann · Beniers Mahura · Ottavainen Grubauer (G) |
| Nov 7 · vs CHI | |||||
| P1 01:34 | EV | Assist | Jarvis (Miller, Hall) → 1-0 | Hall · Jankowski · Jarvis Walker · Miller | Bertuzzi · Bedard · Kantserov Kaiser · Levshunov Knight (G) |
| Nov 5 · @ NYI | |||||
| P1 00:57 | EV | Assist | Stankoven (Blake, Miller) → 1-0 | Ehlers · Stankoven · Blake Walker · Miller | Palat · Pageau · Duclair Pelech · DeAngelo Varlamov (G) |
| Oct 20 · @ VAN | |||||
| P3 04:07 | EV | Assist | Deslauriers (Nadeau, Miller) → 4-3 | Deslauriers · Kotkaniemi · Nadeau Walker · Miller | Gallagher · Bains · Sasson Schenn · Buium Merilainen (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with K'Andre over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker CAR | 188 | 10 | |
| Sebastian Aho CAR | 65 | 10 | |
| Logan Stankoven CAR | 62 | 10 | |
| Andrei Svechnikov CAR | 60 | 10 | |
| Jackson Blake CAR | 59 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats