Bobby Brink
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 40?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals12 × 3+36
- proj assists29 × 1+29
- PP points13 × 0.5+6.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots139 × 0.1+13.9
- PIM25 × 0.05+1.3
- ice time (min)1143 × 0.01+11.4
- total98 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24298 = 40/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 98 points is 40 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (20 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Shooting more: 2.3 SOG/game lately vs 1.3 before — volume is there even if points lag.
- Hot window: 6.7 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 2.7/10 season baseline.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 17 of 17 for MIN.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check underperforming O/U ▼ −3.3
- TRADE VALUE: BELOW PACE — mildly. Cheap production relative to the underlying play.
- 6.1% shooting on 33 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 12.7% (308 shots before this season) — that's 2.2 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (4.2 expected goals). under pace. His shrunk talent rate is 10.4%, worth PD −3.3 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | Flyers | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0.0% | 75.0% |
| 2023-24 | Flyers | 57 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13:48 | 2 | 0 | 81 | 13.6% | 57.1% |
| 2024-25 | Flyers | 79 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -11 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:50 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 11.4% | 29.8% |
| 2025-26 | Flyers | 55 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -5 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15:29 | 3 | 0 | 90 | 14.4% | 30.2% |
| 2025-26 | Wild | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14.3% | 71.4% |
| 2026-27 | Wild | 21 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13:41 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 5.9% | 42.9% |
| 84-G proj | Wild | 84 | 12 | 29 | 41 | — | 32 | — | 9 | — | 14:12 | — | — | 138 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 25 that is 1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Filip Chytil (2024-24) · Zach Benson (2025-25) · Jonatan Berggren (2025-25) · Andrew Shaw (2019-19) · Frank Nazar (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 · @ MTL | |||||
| P3 02:53 | EV | Goal | #? → 1-0 | Coleman · Trenin Bogosian · Kiersted | Kreider · Anderson · Evans Dobson · Hutson Fowler (G) |
| Nov 3 · @ PHI | |||||
| P1 04:37 | EV | Assist | #? (Coleman, Brink) → 2-0 | Coleman · Brink Bogosian · Maatta | Cates · Michkov · Martone York · Bonk Vladar (G) |
| Nov 1 · @ WSH | |||||
| P1 05:27 | EV | Assist | #? (Coleman, Brink) → 2-0 | Coleman · Brink Maatta · Spacek | Ovechkin · Beauvillier · Protas Ivany · Hutson Thompson (G) |
| P3 19:35 | PP | Assist | #? (Spacek, Brink) → 5-1 | Coleman · Hartman · Brink Spacek | Beauvillier · Leonard · Protas Fehervary · Ivany Thompson (G) |
| Oct 25 · @ VAN | |||||
| P2 05:54 | EV | Goal | Brink (McCarron) → 2-0 | Brink · Coleman · McCarron Hughes · Spurgeon | Chytil · Lekkerimäki · Ohgren Schenn · Brisebois Meriläinen (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Bobby over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Coleman MIN | 125 | 10 | |
| Michael McCarron MIN | 63 | 9 | |
| Ryan Hartman MIN | 62 | 10 | |
| Quinn Hughes MIN | 58 | 10 | |
| Zach Bogosian MIN | 50 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats