Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 34?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals7 × 3+21
- proj assists14 × 1+14
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots39 × 0.1+3.9
- PIM194 × 0.05+9.7
- ice time (min)763 × 0.01+7.6
- total56 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16656 = 34/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 56 points is 34 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (13 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Trust is growing: 10:51/game over the last 6, up 21% from 8:56 earlier in the season.
- Off the net: 0.3 SOG/game lately vs 0.8 before — chances have dried up.
- Availability: played 11 of 15 for WPG — missed 4 games (2026-10-15, 2026-10-17, 2026-10-25, 2026-10-29).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Jets | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:29 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Jets | 84 | 7 | 14 | 21 | — | 133 | — | 3 | — | 13:53 | — | — | 70 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 24 that is 1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 · @ MTL | |||||
| P3 17:21 | EV | Goal | Bauer (Koepke, DeMelo) → 1-4 | Barron · Koepke DeMelo · Ferraro · Bauer | Kreider · Kapanen · Beck Xhekaj · Engstrom Fowler (G) |
| P3 18:03 | EV | Assist | #? (Bauer, DeMelo) → 2-4 | Koepke DeMelo · Bauer · Salomonsson | Danault · Texier · Bolduc Xhekaj · Hutson Fowler (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Tyrel over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haydn Fleury WPG | 46 | 8 | |
| Morgan Barron WPG | 41 | 10 | |
| Mario Ferraro WPG | 26 | 10 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi WPG | 26 | 9 | |
| Viggo Björck WPG | 25 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats