
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 24?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals3 × 3+9
- proj assists12 × 1+12
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots84 × 0.1+8.4
- PIM0 × 0.05+0
- ice time (min)1046 × 0.01+10.5
- total40 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16640 = 24/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 40 points is 24 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (12 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Off the net: 0.7 SOG/game lately vs 1.1 before — chances have dried up.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: played 13 of 17 for MIN — missed 4 games (2026-10-10, 2026-10-12, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-22).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | Panthers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Panthers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 2022-23 | Panthers | 20 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:51 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Panthers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Wild | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Wild | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Wild | 84 | 3 | 12 | 15 | — | 23 | — | 0 | — | 15:46 | — | — | 92 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 28 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 · @ SEA | |||||
| P2 02:11 | EV | Assist | Coleman (Kiersted) → 2-1 | Trenin · Coleman · Yurov Bogosian · Kiersted | Samoskevich · Kakko · Gaudreau Dunn · Montour Daccord (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Matt over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Spacek MIN | 70 | 8 | |
| Yakov Trenin MIN | 47 | 10 | |
| Danila Yurov MIN | 46 | 10 | |
| Maxim Shabanov MIN | 40 | 10 | |
| Blake Coleman MIN | 35 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats