
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 38?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals5 × 3+15
- proj assists27 × 1+27
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots84 × 0.1+8.4
- PIM28 × 0.05+1.4
- ice time (min)1138 × 0.01+11.4
- total63 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16663 = 38/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 63 points is 38 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (6 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Did not play the last 3 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 3 of 14 for STL — missed 11 games (2026-10-29, 2026-11-05, 2026-11-07, 2026-11-10, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Blues | 17 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Blues | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Blues | 84 | 5 | 27 | 32 | — | 42 | — | 0 | — | 17:14 | — | — | 96 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 21 that is 4%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 · @ NYR | |||||
| P3 19:01 | EV | Assist | #? (Toropchenko, Lindstein) → 1-3 | Johnston · Toropchenko Carlo · Lindstein | Bjorkstrand · Rempe · Laba Pettersson · Schneider Garand (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Theo over the last 6 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko STL | 35 | 4 | |
| Jonatan Berggren STL | 27 | 6 | |
| Mason McTavish STL | 26 | 6 | |
| Connor McMichael STL | 25 | 6 | |
| Dylan Holloway STL | 24 | 6 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats