Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 33?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals12 × 3+36
- proj assists27 × 1+27
- PP points5 × 0.5+2.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots63 × 0.1+6.3
- PIM0 × 0.05+0
- ice time (min)940 × 0.01+9.4
- total81 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24281 = 33/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 81 points is 33 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (16 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Minutes are shrinking: 9:53/game over the last 6, down 19% from 12:11 earlier in the season.
- Cold window: 1.7 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 5.7/10 baseline — pace has fallen off.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 13 of 13 for WSH.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Capitals | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14.3% | 45.2% |
| 2026-27 | Capitals | 17 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7.1% | 48.6% |
| 84-G proj | Capitals | 84 | 12 | 27 | 38 | — | 19 | — | 3 | — | 12:54 | — | — | 101 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 20 that is 4%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 · vs DAL | |||||
| P3 12:55 | EV | Assist | #? (Beauvillier, Protas) → 4-6 | Beauvillier · Protas Liljegren · Ivany | Perron · Steel · Hryckowian Lindell · Bichsel Oettinger (G) |
| Oct 17 · vs NJD | |||||
| P2 01:16 | EV | Goal | Protas (Ovechkin, Desharnais) → 2-1 | Ovechkin · Miroshnichenko · Protas Desharnais · Fehervary | Noesen · Mantha · Rodrigues Hamilton · Siegenthaler Allen (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Ilya over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin WSH | 57 | 10 | |
| Cole Hutson WSH | 53 | 10 | |
| Jakob Chychrun WSH | 32 | 10 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier WSH | 31 | 10 | |
| Martin Fehervary WSH | 30 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats