
Alexander Kerfoot
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 33?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals12 × 3+36
- proj assists20 × 1+20
- PP points4 × 0.5+2
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots62 × 0.1+6.2
- PIM27 × 0.05+1.4
- ice time (min)1358 × 0.01+13.6
- total79 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24279 = 33/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 79 points is 33 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (19 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Off the net: 0.3 SOG/game lately vs 0.9 before — chances have dried up.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for NSH.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | Avalanche | 79 | 19 | 24 | 43 | -7 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 13:27 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 23.5% | 42.1% |
| 2018-19 | Avalanche | 78 | 15 | 27 | 42 | -9 | 38 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 14:53 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 12.9% | 56.0% |
| 2019-20 | Maple Leafs | 65 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -2 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14:46 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 10.2% | 46.9% |
| 2020-21 | Maple Leafs | 56 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:27 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 11.8% | 40.8% |
| 2021-22 | Maple Leafs | 82 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 19 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:13 | 1 | 0 | 117 | 11.1% | 42.7% |
| 2022-23 | Maple Leafs | 82 | 10 | 22 | 32 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14:37 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 7.5% | 44.8% |
| 2023-24 | Coyotes | 82 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -15 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 17:26 | 3 | 0 | 103 | 12.6% | 47.8% |
| 2024-25 | Utah Hockey Club | 81 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:15 | 1 | 0 | 101 | 10.9% | 52.4% |
| 2025-26 | Mammoth | 34 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 25.0% | 51.1% |
| 2026-27 | Predators | 19 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14.3% | 44.2% |
| 84-G proj | Predators | 84 | 12 | 20 | 32 | — | 33 | — | 2 | — | 15:47 | — | — | 101 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 32 that is -3%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Kasperi Kapanen (2025-25) · William Carrier (2025-25) · Blake Lizotte (2025-25) · Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2025-25) · Nils Hoglander (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 · vs TBL | |||||
| P1 11:14 | EV | Assist | #? (Kerfoot, Perbix) → 1-0 | Marchessault · Kerfoot Skjei · Perbix | Cirelli · Hagel · Holmberg Hedman · Crozier Vasilevskiy (G) |
| Oct 27 · vs NYI | |||||
| P2 13:02 | EV | Goal | Kerfoot (Hoglander) → 2-3 | Kerfoot · Hoglander · Edstrom Wilsby · Josi | Duclair · Pageau · Palat Pelech · Schaefer Varlamov (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Alexander over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Skjei NSH | 74 | 10 | |
| Nick Perbix NSH | 54 | 10 | |
| Vitali Pinchuk NSH | 54 | 8 | |
| Roman Josi NSH | 51 | 10 | |
| Reid Schaefer NSH | 46 | 8 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats