Brandon Carlo

Brandon Carlo

D · Right shotSecond PairingAge 296'5" · 214 lbColorado Springs, United States
cap hit$4.1M6-year extensionsigned July 14, 2021contract ledger →

Points by season

Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).

20: 19 pts192021: 4 pts422: 15 pts152223: 16 pts1624: 14 pts142425: 9 pts925: 3 pts32526: 7 pts715PROJ27: 2 pts (projected 15)27

Pool value

Projected full-season fantasy worth.

26/100
why 26?

Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.

  • proj goals2 × 3+6
  • proj assists12 × 1+12
  • PP points0 × 0.5+0
  • game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
  • OT goals0 × 0.25+0
  • shots56 × 0.1+5.6
  • PIM98 × 0.05+4.9
  • ice time (min)1485 × 0.01+14.9
  • total43 pool points  ·  an elite defenseman season scores 16643 = 26/100

Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 43 points is 26 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (18 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.

The Situation

  • Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
  • Availability: every game this season — 14 of 14 for STL.

Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.

Season stats

NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGPPPSHGTOI/GPGWGOTGSS%FOW%
2016-17Bruins826101695900120:4900886.8%0.0%
2017-18Bruins76066104500019:1400760.0%100.0%
2018-19Bruins722810224700020:55001161.7%100.0%
2019-20Bruins6741519163300020:29001113.6%0.0%
2020-21Bruins2731411200018:4310437.0%0.0%
2021-22Bruins79691523101119:42001254.8%0.0%
2022-23Bruins7531316443800018:5000943.2%0.0%
2023-24Bruins7641014234200019:5410795.1%0.0%
2024-25Bruins6318922400018:4800641.6%0.0%
2024-25Maple Leafs2003341300019:1300130.0%0.0%
2025-26Maple Leafs5507743700019:2200660.0%0.0%
2026-27Blues19022-12100017:3200150.0%0.0%
84-G projBlues8421215—80—0—18:14——77——

84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 29 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.

Comparable player-seasons: Dmitry Kulikov (2025-25) · Erik Gudbranson (2025-25) · Jeremy Lauzon (2025-25) · Brandon Carlo (2025-25) · Brett Pesce (2025-25).

Goals — with the line

TimeSTTypeGoalHis lineOpp ice
Nov 10 · vs DET
P2 00:37EVAssistSuter (Toropchenko, Carlo) → 1-1
Buchnevich · Johnston · Toropchenko · Suter · McMichael · Dvorsky
Fowler · Carlo · Broberg · Mailloux
Copp · Kolesar · Appleton · Dries · Raymond · Brandsegg-Nygård
Chiarot · Faulk · Seider · Wallinder
Gibson (G)

Line mates

Teammates sharing the most ice time with Brandon over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).

PlayerShared minGP
Cam Fowler STL7410
Philip Broberg STL7210
Robert Thomas STL5810
Pius Suter STL5210
Jimmy Snuggerud STL4910

Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats