Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 32?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals13 × 3+39
- proj assists16 × 1+16
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots111 × 0.1+11.1
- PIM9 × 0.05+0.5
- ice time (min)1028 × 0.01+10.3
- total77 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24277 = 32/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 77 points is 32 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (19 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Hot window: 5.0 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 1.8/10 season baseline.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 17 of 17 for NJD.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▼ −1.1
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 8.0% shooting on 25 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 11.5% (496 shots before this season) — that's 0.9 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (2.9 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 10.5%, worth PD −1.1 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | Golden Knights | 39 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13:22 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 9.8% | 42.0% |
| 2020-21 | Golden Knights | 27 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:32 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 14.3% | 42.5% |
| 2021-22 | Predators | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.0% | 35.1% |
| 2022-23 | Predators | 72 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 14:46 | 2 | 1 | 131 | 10.7% | 49.8% |
| 2023-24 | Predators | 41 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:26 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 7.3% | 46.1% |
| 2024-25 | Penguins | 51 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:25 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 5.1% | 52.7% |
| 2024-25 | Devils | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15.4% | 48.1% |
| 2025-26 | Devils | 70 | 19 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:37 | 3 | 0 | 104 | 18.3% | 54.0% |
| 2026-27 | Devils | 20 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 7.7% | 52.7% |
| 84-G proj | Devils | 84 | 13 | 16 | 29 | — | 23 | — | 1 | — | 13:22 | — | — | 123 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 27 that is -1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Nils Hoglander (2025-25) · Nico Sturm (2025-25) · William Carrier (2025-25) · Wayne Simmonds (2021-21) · Connor Dewar (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 · vs WSH | |||||
| P2 09:51 | EV | Assist | #? (Dillon, Glass) → 2-2 | Glass · Boqvist Dillon · Kolyachonok | Tuch · Dubois · Protas Liljegren · Fehervary Thompson (G) |
| Nov 10 · @ WPG | |||||
| P2 01:58 | EV | Goal | #? (Kovacevic, Chisholm) → 2-2 | Brown · Rodrigues Kovacevic · Chisholm | Mercer · Perfetti · Yager Ferraro · Bauer Daws (G) |
| Nov 8 · @ TOR | |||||
| P3 17:23 | EV | Assist | #? (Glass) → 4-0 | Glass Pesce · Siegenthaler | Tavares · Nylander · Matthews · McKenna Raddysh Stolarz (G) |
| Oct 28 · @ COL | |||||
| P3 15:35 | EV | Assist | Brown (Lombardi, Glass) → 2-5 | Glass · Brown · Lombardi Pesce · Siegenthaler | MacKinnon · Necas · Landeskog Makar · Kulak Blackwood (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Cody over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amadeus Lombardi NJD | 67 | 8 | |
| Connor Brown NJD | 66 | 8 | |
| Jesper Boqvist NJD | 48 | 10 | |
| Brett Pesce NJD | 47 | 9 | |
| Luke Hughes NJD | 43 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats