
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 50?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals23 × 3+69
- proj assists21 × 1+21
- PP points15 × 0.5+7.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots99 × 0.1+9.9
- PIM0 × 0.05+0
- ice time (min)1251 × 0.01+12.5
- total120 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242120 = 50/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 120 points is 50 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (11 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Trust is growing: 16:51/game over the last 6, up 28% from 13:13 earlier in the season.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: played 12 of 17 for NJD — missed 5 games (2026-10-12, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-15, 2026-10-17, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | Maple Leafs | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14:58 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 2016-17 | Maple Leafs | 82 | 20 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 0 | 139 | 14.4% | 25.0% |
| 2017-18 | Maple Leafs | 82 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15:01 | 2 | 0 | 119 | 11.8% | 38.8% |
| 2018-19 | Maple Leafs | 82 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:48 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 9.4% | 39.2% |
| 2019-20 | Senators | 71 | 16 | 27 | 43 | -6 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20:07 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 9.2% | 42.6% |
| 2020-21 | Senators | 56 | 21 | 14 | 35 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 18:15 | 1 | 0 | 123 | 17.1% | 44.4% |
| 2021-22 | Senators | 64 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -15 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 20:03 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 8.3% | 36.1% |
| 2022-23 | Capitals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| 2023-24 | Oilers | 71 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 3.7% | 41.5% |
| 2024-25 | Oilers | 82 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 4 | 1 | 123 | 10.6% | 36.4% |
| 2025-26 | Devils | 75 | 18 | 25 | 43 | -1 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 17:33 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 15.5% | 30.8% |
| 2026-27 | Devils | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15:02 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Devils | 84 | 23 | 21 | 44 | — | 23 | — | 10 | — | 15:03 | — | — | 125 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 32 that is -3%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 · vs WSH | |||||
| P3 17:07 | EV | Assist | Noesen (Brown) → 4-2 | Noesen · Brown · Meier · Rodrigues · Hischier · Evangelista Dillon · Hamilton · Siegenthaler · Hughes | Ovechkin · Jenner · Strome · Kyrou · Sourdif · Leonard Roy · Chychrun · Fehervary · Hutson Thompson (G) |
| Nov 8 · @ TOR | |||||
| P3 17:23 | EV | Goal | Brown (Glass) → 4-0 | Brown · Rodrigues · Glass · Lombardi Dillon · Pesce · Siegenthaler · Kovacevic | Tavares · Blueger · Nylander · Joshua · Matthews · McKenna Mermis · Raddysh · McWard Stolarz (G) |
| Nov 3 · vs EDM | |||||
| P2 07:42 | PP | Goal | Brown (Hughes, Hughes) → 1-1 | Brown · Bratt · Hischier · Hughes · Gritsyuk Pesce · Hughes | Draisaitl · McDavid · Podkolzin · Michaels Ekholm · Shea · Bouchard Jarry (G) |
| P2 15:35 | PP | Assist | Hughes (Brown, Hischier) → 3-1 | Brown · Meier · Bratt · Hischier · Hughes · Evangelista Pesce · Hughes | Draisaitl · McDavid · Formenton · Hallander · Podkolzin Ekholm · Murphy · Shea · Bouchard Jarry (G) |
| Oct 28 · @ COL | |||||
| P1 12:21 | SH | Goal | Brown → 1-0 | Glass · Brown Dillon · Hughes | Hughes · MacKinnon · Necas · Kadri Makar Blackwood (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Connor over the last 8 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Glass NJD | 66 | 8 | |
| Luke Hughes NJD | 64 | 8 | |
| Amadeus Lombardi NJD | 44 | 6 | |
| Brett Pesce NJD | 40 | 7 | |
| Dougie Hamilton NJD | 36 | 8 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats