Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 35?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals13 × 3+39
- proj assists14 × 1+14
- PP points6 × 0.5+3
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots150 × 0.1+15
- PIM36 × 0.05+1.8
- ice time (min)1103 × 0.01+11
- total84 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24284 = 35/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 84 points is 35 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (14 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Trust is growing: 15:07/game over the last 6, up 27% from 11:55 earlier in the season.
- Shooting more: 2.8 SOG/game lately vs 0.8 before — volume is there even if points lag.
- Availability: played 12 of 13 for LAK — missed 1 game (2026-10-27).
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
- Veteran card: age 41 — minutes and back-to-back load worth watching down the stretch.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▼ −2.2
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 8.0% shooting on 25 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 13.1% (853 shots before this season) — that's 1.3 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (3.3 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 11.6%, worth PD −2.2 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-06 | Ducks | 56 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 50 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 11:34 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 13.3% | 27.3% |
| 2006-07 | Ducks | 82 | 17 | 27 | 44 | 12 | 55 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 12:28 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 8.8% | 42.9% |
| 2007-08 | Ducks | 70 | 29 | 25 | 54 | 12 | 108 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 17:57 | 4 | 0 | 200 | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| 2008-09 | Ducks | 78 | 32 | 40 | 72 | 10 | 109 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 18:36 | 8 | 0 | 283 | 11.3% | 29.0% |
| 2009-10 | Ducks | 82 | 27 | 49 | 76 | 0 | 111 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 21:04 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 10.0% | 21.4% |
| 2010-11 | Ducks | 82 | 50 | 48 | 98 | 9 | 104 | 14 | 31 | 4 | 22:19 | 11 | 2 | 290 | 17.2% | 40.9% |
| 2011-12 | Ducks | 80 | 37 | 23 | 60 | -7 | 127 | 14 | 23 | 1 | 21:23 | 6 | 1 | 277 | 13.4% | 39.6% |
| 2012-13 | Ducks | 44 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 10 | 72 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 19:04 | 5 | 1 | 128 | 11.7% | 20.7% |
| 2013-14 | Ducks | 81 | 43 | 39 | 82 | 32 | 65 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 19:29 | 9 | 1 | 280 | 15.4% | 36.0% |
| 2014-15 | Ducks | 67 | 33 | 22 | 55 | 13 | 67 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 18:06 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 17.1% | 25.0% |
| 2015-16 | Ducks | 82 | 34 | 28 | 62 | 2 | 68 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 17:42 | 6 | 0 | 215 | 15.8% | 20.0% |
| 2016-17 | Ducks | 82 | 19 | 34 | 53 | 2 | 76 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 17:43 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 8.8% | 35.0% |
| 2017-18 | Ducks | 71 | 17 | 32 | 49 | -4 | 71 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 17:47 | 1 | 0 | 168 | 10.1% | 12.5% |
| 2018-19 | Ducks | 31 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -16 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:49 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Stars | 57 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -2 | 70 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 13:43 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 6.5% | 40.0% |
| 2020-21 | Canadiens | 49 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -4 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 13:44 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Lightning | 82 | 19 | 21 | 40 | 9 | 66 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 13:31 | 4 | 0 | 153 | 12.4% | 50.0% |
| 2022-23 | Lightning | 81 | 12 | 13 | 25 | -28 | 95 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 11:34 | 3 | 0 | 116 | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Blackhawks | 16 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:39 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Oilers | 38 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:51 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Oilers | 81 | 19 | 11 | 30 | 12 | 61 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11:56 | 4 | 0 | 100 | 19.0% | 51.5% |
| 2025-26 | Kings | 50 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -1 | 59 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 14:19 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 12.6% | 24.1% |
| 2025-26 | Lightning | 22 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:13 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Kings | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 8.0% | 66.7% |
| 84-G proj | Kings | 84 | 13 | 14 | 27 | — | 39 | — | 11 | — | 14:05 | — | — | 142 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 41 that is 0%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 · vs PIT | |||||
| P1 09:55 | EV | Goal | Perry (Anderson, Panarin) → 1-2 | Perry · Laughton · Panarin · Turcotte · Lee · Laferriere Dumoulin · Gustafsson · Anderson · Clarke | Brazeau · Dewar · Lizotte · Robertson · Lapierre · Koivunen Letang · Girard · Korczak · Carlile Murashov (G) |
| Oct 31 · vs BUF | |||||
| P2 17:24 | PP | Goal | Perry (Moore, Clarke) → 1-2 | Perry · Haula · Moore · Byfield Doughty · Edmundson · Clarke | Malenstyn · Thompson · Krebs · Kozak · Benson Samuelsson · Dahlin · Power Luukkonen (G) |
| Oct 26 · @ NYR | |||||
| P2 06:54 | EV | Assist | Anderson (Perry) → 5-1 | Lee · Helenius · Perry Dumoulin · Anderson | Dorofeyev · Laba · Cuylle Durzi · Smits Garand (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Corey over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Byfield LAK | 68 | 10 | |
| Trevor Moore LAK | 67 | 10 | |
| Drew Doughty LAK | 55 | 10 | |
| Brandt Clarke LAK | 47 | 10 | |
| Joel Edmundson LAK | 38 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats