
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 30?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals12 × 3+36
- proj assists20 × 1+20
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots70 × 0.1+7
- PIM0 × 0.05+0
- ice time (min)959 × 0.01+9.6
- total73 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24273 = 30/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 73 points is 30 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (6 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Did not play the last 7 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 5 of 14 for PIT — missed 9 games (2026-11-05, 2026-11-07, 2026-11-08, 2026-11-11, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | Red Wings | 21 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 16.7% | 25.0% |
| 2024-25 | Red Wings | 26 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 10.5% | 26.7% |
| 2025-26 | Red Wings | 39 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:41 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 4.8% | 33.3% |
| 2025-26 | Penguins | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-27 | Penguins | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 84-G proj | Penguins | 84 | 12 | 20 | 32 | — | 29 | — | 0 | — | 13:56 | — | — | 120 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 25 that is 1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 4 of 5 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 · vs NSH | |||||
| P2 00:18 | EV | Assist | Dewar (Soderblom) → 1-1 | Robertson · Dewar · Soderblom Stastney · Karlsson | Wood · O'Reilly · Stamkos Wilsby · Josi Saros (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Elmer over the last 3 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Dewar PIT | 21 | 3 | |
| Blake Lizotte PIT | 20 | 2 | |
| Kaedan Korczak PIT | 13 | 3 | |
| Erik Karlsson PIT | 11 | 3 | |
| Declan Carlile PIT | 11 | 3 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats