Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 28?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals8 × 3+24
- proj assists20 × 1+20
- PP points6 × 0.5+3
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots73 × 0.1+7.3
- PIM0 × 0.05+0
- ice time (min)1297 × 0.01+13
- total67 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24267 = 28/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 67 points is 28 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (15 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Minutes are shrinking: 13:37/game over the last 6, down 19% from 16:52 earlier in the season.
- Off the net: 0.7 SOG/game lately vs 1.3 before — chances have dried up.
- Hot window: 3.3 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 1.7/10 season baseline.
- Availability: played 12 of 15 for TBL — missed 3 games (2026-10-15, 2026-11-08, 2026-11-11).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Lightning | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Lightning | 60 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:48 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 13.1% | 50.0% |
| 2025-26 | Lightning | 74 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:05 | 2 | 0 | 77 | 14.3% | 30.4% |
| 2026-27 | Lightning | 16 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| 84-G proj | Lightning | 84 | 8 | 20 | 29 | — | 20 | — | 3 | — | 15:19 | — | — | 110 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 25 that is 1%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Kyle Turris (2020-20) · Fedor Svechkov (2025-25) · Samuel Blais (2023-23) · Phillip Di Giuseppe (2023-23) · Max Jones (2023-23).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 · vs DET | |||||
| P2 08:41 | EV | Assist | #? (Goncalves, Moser) → 3-0 | Hagel · Goncalves Crozier · Moser | Copp · Raymond · Mazur Faulk · Wallinder Tarasov (G) |
| Oct 29 · vs WPG | |||||
| P2 15:56 | PP | Assist | Cirelli (Holmberg, Goncalves) → 3-1 | Cirelli · Holmberg · Goncalves · Geekie Carlson | Lowry · Iafallo Fleury · Ferraro Skinner (G) |
| Oct 23 · @ COL | |||||
| P3 15:13 | EV | Assist | D'Astous (Goncalves, Crozier) → 3-5 | Point · Guentzel · Goncalves Crozier · D'Astous | Svechkov · Schwartz · Kadri Manson · Burns Blackwood (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Gage over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Moser TBL | 56 | 10 | |
| Conor Geekie TBL | 48 | 10 | |
| Brayden Point TBL | 47 | 9 | |
| John Carlson TBL | 46 | 10 | |
| Victor Hedman TBL | 44 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats