Sidney Crosby
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 58?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals23 × 3+69
- proj assists28 × 1+28
- PP points13 × 0.5+6.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots177 × 0.1+17.7
- PIM62 × 0.05+3.1
- ice time (min)1641 × 0.01+16.4
- total141 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242141 = 58/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 141 points is 58 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (19 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Shooting more: 2.5 SOG/game lately vs 1.3 before — volume is there even if points lag.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 14 of 14 for PIT.
- Veteran card: age 39 — minutes and back-to-back load worth watching down the stretch.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U • +0.3
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 15.0% shooting on 40 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 14.5% (1863 shots before this season) — that's 0.2 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (5.8 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 14.7%, worth PD +0.3 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-06 | Penguins | 81 | 39 | 63 | 102 | -1 | 110 | 16 | 47 | 0 | 20:08 | 5 | 3 | 278 | 14.0% | 45.5% |
| 2006-07 | Penguins | 79 | 36 | 84 | 120 | 10 | 60 | 13 | 61 | 0 | 20:46 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 14.4% | 49.8% |
| 2007-08 | Penguins | 53 | 24 | 48 | 72 | 18 | 39 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 20:51 | 4 | 0 | 173 | 13.9% | 51.4% |
| 2008-09 | Penguins | 77 | 33 | 70 | 103 | 3 | 76 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 21:57 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 13.9% | 51.3% |
| 2009-10 | Penguins | 81 | 51 | 58 | 109 | 15 | 71 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 21:57 | 6 | 1 | 298 | 17.1% | 55.9% |
| 2010-11 | Penguins | 41 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 20 | 31 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 21:55 | 3 | 0 | 161 | 19.9% | 55.7% |
| 2011-12 | Penguins | 22 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 18:28 | 3 | 0 | 75 | 10.7% | 50.1% |
| 2012-13 | Penguins | 36 | 15 | 41 | 56 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 21:06 | 1 | 0 | 124 | 12.1% | 54.3% |
| 2013-14 | Penguins | 80 | 36 | 68 | 104 | 18 | 46 | 11 | 38 | 0 | 21:58 | 5 | 1 | 259 | 13.9% | 52.5% |
| 2014-15 | Penguins | 77 | 28 | 56 | 84 | 5 | 47 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 19:58 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 11.8% | 49.9% |
| 2015-16 | Penguins | 80 | 36 | 49 | 85 | 19 | 42 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 20:28 | 9 | 2 | 248 | 14.5% | 51.7% |
| 2016-17 | Penguins | 75 | 44 | 45 | 89 | 17 | 24 | 14 | 25 | 0 | 19:53 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 17.3% | 48.2% |
| 2017-18 | Penguins | 82 | 29 | 60 | 89 | 0 | 46 | 9 | 38 | 0 | 20:41 | 6 | 3 | 247 | 11.7% | 53.0% |
| 2018-19 | Penguins | 79 | 35 | 65 | 100 | 18 | 36 | 12 | 29 | 0 | 21:00 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 15.9% | 55.4% |
| 2019-20 | Penguins | 41 | 16 | 31 | 47 | -8 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 20:16 | 4 | 2 | 109 | 14.7% | 55.6% |
| 2020-21 | Penguins | 55 | 24 | 38 | 62 | 8 | 26 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 20:24 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 15.1% | 53.6% |
| 2021-22 | Penguins | 69 | 31 | 53 | 84 | 19 | 32 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 19:58 | 9 | 1 | 208 | 14.9% | 52.4% |
| 2022-23 | Penguins | 82 | 33 | 60 | 93 | 8 | 52 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 20:09 | 9 | 1 | 255 | 12.9% | 53.0% |
| 2023-24 | Penguins | 82 | 42 | 52 | 94 | 7 | 40 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 20:05 | 3 | 0 | 278 | 15.1% | 58.2% |
| 2024-25 | Penguins | 80 | 33 | 58 | 91 | -20 | 31 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 20:22 | 10 | 4 | 227 | 14.5% | 57.0% |
| 2025-26 | Penguins | 68 | 29 | 45 | 74 | 0 | 44 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 19:14 | 4 | 1 | 160 | 18.1% | 55.2% |
| 2026-27 | Penguins | 19 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19:32 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 15.0% | 54.1% |
| 84-G proj | Penguins | 84 | 23 | 28 | 51 | — | 54 | — | 18 | — | 17:51 | — | — | 163 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 39 that is -10%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Jared McCann (2025-25) · Tyler Seguin (2025-25) · Gabriel Landeskog (2025-25) · Bryan Rust (2025-25) · Viktor Arvidsson (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 · @ ANA | |||||
| P3 13:42 | PP | Assist | Rakell (Crosby, Malkin) → 2-4 | Malkin · Crosby · Rakell · Novak · Robertson · Chinakhov · Kindel Letang · Karlsson · Girard · Korczak | Killorn · Granlund · Caulfield · Carlsson Helleson · Luneau · Mintyukov · Mitchell Brossoit (G) |
| Nov 7 · @ LAK | |||||
| P2 17:13 | EV | Goal | Crosby (Malkin, Karlsson) → 4-2 | Malkin · Crosby · Rakell · Brazeau · Lapierre · Koivunen Karlsson · Girard · Stastney · Korczak | Perry · Haula · Armia · Moore · Byfield · Connors Doughty · Edmundson Kuemper (G) |
| P3 18:44 | EV | Goal | Crosby (Malkin, Letang) → 5-2 | Malkin · Crosby · Rakell · Brazeau · Lapierre · Koivunen Letang · Karlsson · Stastney · Carlile | Perry · Haula · Armia · Kempe · Panarin · Turcotte · Connors Dumoulin · Gustafsson · Anderson Kuemper (G) |
| Oct 31 · @ MTL | |||||
| P1 02:08 | PP | Assist | Karlsson (Crosby, Novak) → 1-0 | Crosby · Rakell · Novak · Dewar · Lizotte · Robertson · Koivunen Letang · Karlsson · Carlile | Anderson · Newhook · Kapanen · Beck · Xhekaj Guhle · Xhekaj · Engstrom Fowler (G) |
| P1 07:28 | EV | Assist | Novak (Rakell, Crosby) → 2-2 | Malkin · Crosby · Rakell · Novak · Chinakhov · Kindel Letang · Carlile | Danault · Texier · Caufield · Newhook · Bolduc · Slafkovský Carrier · Dobson · Guhle · Hutson Fowler (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Sidney over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell PIT | 161 | 10 | |
| Erik Karlsson PIT | 106 | 10 | |
| Tommy Novak PIT | 73 | 10 | |
| Evgeni Malkin PIT | 66 | 9 | |
| Kris Letang PIT | 62 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats