Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 52?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals20 × 3+60
- proj assists24 × 1+24
- PP points8 × 0.5+4
- game-winning goals8 × 0.5+4
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots191 × 0.1+19.1
- PIM76 × 0.05+3.8
- ice time (min)1112 × 0.01+11.1
- total126 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242126 = 52/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 126 points is 52 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (11 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Availability: played 6 of 15 for CAR — missed 9 games (2026-10-27, 2026-10-29, 2026-11-01, 2026-11-03, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▲ +1.1
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 12.0% shooting on 25 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 10.1% (1149 shots before this season) — that's 0.5 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (2.5 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 10.7%, worth PD +1.1 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-11 | Oilers | 65 | 22 | 20 | 42 | -9 | 27 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 18:13 | 4 | 1 | 186 | 11.8% | 40.0% |
| 2011-12 | Oilers | 61 | 27 | 26 | 53 | -3 | 36 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 18:13 | 7 | 2 | 207 | 13.0% | 40.4% |
| 2012-13 | Oilers | 45 | 16 | 34 | 50 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 18:37 | 4 | 0 | 154 | 10.4% | 54.7% |
| 2013-14 | Oilers | 75 | 27 | 53 | 80 | -15 | 44 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 20:01 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 10.8% | 45.7% |
| 2014-15 | Oilers | 53 | 14 | 24 | 38 | -1 | 40 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 19:13 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 8.9% | 45.9% |
| 2015-16 | Oilers | 82 | 26 | 39 | 65 | -4 | 54 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 19:12 | 6 | 1 | 286 | 9.1% | 35.9% |
| 2016-17 | Devils | 72 | 20 | 33 | 53 | -9 | 32 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 19:20 | 4 | 2 | 238 | 8.4% | 44.4% |
| 2017-18 | Devils | 76 | 39 | 54 | 93 | 14 | 34 | 13 | 37 | 1 | 19:09 | 7 | 3 | 278 | 14.0% | 48.6% |
| 2018-19 | Devils | 33 | 11 | 26 | 37 | -6 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 19:41 | 3 | 0 | 113 | 9.7% | 44.8% |
| 2019-20 | Devils | 30 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -11 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 19:11 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 5.5% | 46.4% |
| 2019-20 | Coyotes | 35 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -3 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 19:10 | 1 | 0 | 123 | 8.1% | 30.4% |
| 2020-21 | Sabres | 37 | 2 | 17 | 19 | -21 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 18:41 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 2.3% | 18.2% |
| 2020-21 | Bruins | 16 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:58 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 16.7% | 83.3% |
| 2021-22 | Bruins | 81 | 20 | 41 | 61 | 11 | 42 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 16:25 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 9.2% | 46.2% |
| 2022-23 | Bruins | 61 | 16 | 20 | 36 | 11 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 15:56 | 5 | 1 | 150 | 10.7% | 44.4% |
| 2023-24 | Blackhawks | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:20 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 10.0% | 66.7% |
| 2024-25 | Blackhawks | 46 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -15 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14:59 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 11.0% | 44.4% |
| 2024-25 | Hurricanes | 31 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 15:27 | 2 | 0 | 62 | 14.5% | 52.4% |
| 2025-26 | Hurricanes | 80 | 18 | 30 | 48 | 6 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 14:32 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 13.1% | 40.8% |
| 2026-27 | Hurricanes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:14 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 12.0% | 50.0% |
| 84-G proj | Hurricanes | 84 | 20 | 24 | 44 | — | 58 | — | 7 | — | 14:15 | — | — | 157 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 34 that is -5%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 3 of 6 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 · vs CHI | |||||
| P1 01:34 | EV | Assist | Jarvis (Miller, Hall) → 1-0 | Hall · Jankowski · Jarvis Walker · Miller | Bertuzzi · Bedard · Kantserov Kaiser · Levshunov Knight (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Taylor over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Stankoven CAR | 79 | 10 | |
| Jackson Blake CAR | 74 | 10 | |
| K'Andre Miller CAR | 57 | 10 | |
| Sean Walker CAR | 51 | 10 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere CAR | 42 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats