Bryan Rust
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 57?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals24 × 3+72
- proj assists25 × 1+25
- PP points24 × 0.5+12
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots108 × 0.1+10.8
- PIM48 × 0.05+2.4
- ice time (min)1459 × 0.01+14.6
- total137 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242137 = 57/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 137 points is 57 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (7 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Did not play the last 9 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 5 of 14 for PIT — missed 9 games (2026-11-05, 2026-11-07, 2026-11-08, 2026-11-11, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-15 | Penguins | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| 2015-16 | Penguins | 41 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:30 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 5.9% | 25.0% |
| 2016-17 | Penguins | 57 | 15 | 13 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 1 | 1 | 110 | 13.6% | 40.0% |
| 2017-18 | Penguins | 69 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 11 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:03 | 3 | 1 | 123 | 10.6% | 25.8% |
| 2018-19 | Penguins | 72 | 18 | 17 | 35 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:54 | 4 | 0 | 141 | 12.8% | 33.3% |
| 2019-20 | Penguins | 55 | 27 | 29 | 56 | 14 | 30 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 19:46 | 4 | 2 | 151 | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| 2020-21 | Penguins | 56 | 22 | 20 | 42 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 19:43 | 6 | 0 | 154 | 14.3% | 50.0% |
| 2021-22 | Penguins | 60 | 24 | 34 | 58 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 18:46 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 13.3% | 16.7% |
| 2022-23 | Penguins | 81 | 20 | 26 | 46 | -4 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:54 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 9.5% | 50.0% |
| 2023-24 | Penguins | 62 | 28 | 28 | 56 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 19:35 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 14.3% | 25.0% |
| 2024-25 | Penguins | 71 | 31 | 34 | 65 | -21 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 19:45 | 5 | 2 | 191 | 16.2% | 52.9% |
| 2025-26 | Penguins | 72 | 29 | 36 | 65 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 19:57 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 15.8% | 13.3% |
| 2026-27 | Penguins | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:22 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Penguins | 84 | 24 | 25 | 49 | — | 45 | — | 23 | — | 15:59 | — | — | 133 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 34 that is -5%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 3 of 5 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 · @ UTA | |||||
| P1 01:11 | PP | Assist | Karlsson (Rust, Novak) → 1-0 | Crosby · Rust · Rakell · Novak Karlsson | Stenlund · Cooley Weegar · Sergachev Cossa (G) |
| P2 07:01 | PP | Assist | Rakell (Rust, Karlsson) → 2-2 | Crosby · Rust · Rakell · Novak Karlsson | Crouse · Stenlund Weegar · Sergachev Cossa (G) |
| Oct 16 · @ COL | |||||
| P1 08:57 | EV | Goal | Rust (Crosby, Girard) → 2-0 | Crosby · Rust · Rakell Girard · Korczak | Lehkonen · MacKinnon · Necas Burns · Manson Blackwood (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Bryan over the last 7 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby PIT | 86 | 7 | |
| Rickard Rakell PIT | 77 | 7 | |
| Kris Letang PIT | 46 | 7 | |
| Erik Karlsson PIT | 42 | 7 | |
| Kaedan Korczak PIT | 40 | 7 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats