Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 51?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals6 × 3+18
- proj assists26 × 1+26
- PP points26 × 0.5+13
- game-winning goals6 × 0.5+3
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots71 × 0.1+7.1
- PIM26 × 0.05+1.3
- ice time (min)1681 × 0.01+16.8
- total85 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16685 = 51/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 85 points is 51 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (13 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Hot window: 6.7 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 2.0/10 season baseline.
- Did not play the last 2 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 11 of 14 for LAK — missed 3 games (2026-10-10, 2026-11-10, 2026-11-12).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line is our public model’s season-length forecast — frozen 2026-11-13, the day this projection was first published — it does not slide with later results; methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | Blackhawks | 41 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2017-18 | Blackhawks | 35 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18:33 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 2018-19 | Blackhawks | 79 | 17 | 43 | 60 | -6 | 34 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 22:35 | 3 | 2 | 160 | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Blackhawks | 59 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -8 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20:40 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Flames | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2020-21 | Flyers | 24 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17:24 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 2020-21 | Canadiens | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Blackhawks | 59 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -4 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16:13 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 2022-23 | Capitals | 61 | 7 | 31 | 38 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 20:22 | 2 | 0 | 114 | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| 2022-23 | Maple Leafs | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15:45 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Rangers | 76 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 17:24 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Red Wings | 60 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -19 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 16:19 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Red Wings | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Kings | 13 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20:01 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Kings | 84 | 6 | 26 | 32 | — | 36 | — | 7 | — | 19:34 | — | — | 88 | — | — |
84-G proj — pace at first publication blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 34 that is -5%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Dennis Cholowski (2024-24) · Ty Smith (2021-21) · Tony DeAngelo (2025-25) · Tyson Barrie (2023-23) · Sean Durzi (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 10 of 11 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 7 · vs PITL 2-50 G1 A1 PTS3 SOG-2 ±20:46 TOI | |||||
| P2 03:07 | PP | Assist | Laferriere (Kempe, Gustafsson) → 2-3 | Kempe · Panarin · Byfield · Laferriere Gustafsson | Dewar · Lizotte Stastney · Korczak · Carlile Murashov (G) |
Nov 4 · vs SJSW 7-20 G2 A2 PTS0 SOG+3 ±20:04 TOI | |||||
| P1 16:09 | EV | Assist | Kempe (Gustafsson, Clarke) → 2-0 | Kempe · Panarin · Laferriere Gustafsson · Clarke | Goodrow · Dellandrea · Ostapchuk Nurse · Kesselring Askarov (G) |
| P3 14:28 | PP | Assist | Byfield (Panarin, Gustafsson) → 7-2 | Kempe · Panarin · Byfield · Laferriere Gustafsson | Goodrow · Graf · Misa Nurse · Kesselring Askarov (G) |
Oct 26 · @ NYRW 6-30 G1 A1 PTS1 SOG+1 ±20:23 TOI | |||||
| P2 01:30 | PP | Assist | Panarin (Gustafsson, #?) → 4-1 | Kempe · Panarin · Byfield Gustafsson | Laba · Cuylle Fox · Pettersson Garand (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Erik over the last 9 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandt Clarke LAK | 112 | 9 | |
| Artemi Panarin LAK | 92 | 9 | |
| Alex Laferriere LAK | 76 | 9 | |
| Adrian Kempe LAK | 71 | 8 | |
| Quinton Byfield LAK | 64 | 9 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats