Rasmus Andersson
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 46?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals8 × 3+24
- proj assists19 × 1+19
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots147 × 0.1+14.7
- PIM34 × 0.05+1.7
- ice time (min)1628 × 0.01+16.3
- total76 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16676 = 46/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 76 points is 46 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (20 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for VGK.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U • +0.4
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 5.7% shooting on 35 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 5.0% (976 shots before this season) — that's 0.2 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (1.8 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 5.3%, worth PD +0.4 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | Flames | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2017-18 | Flames | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2018-19 | Flames | 79 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:02 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Flames | 70 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -7 | 57 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 124 | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 2020-21 | Flames | 56 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -9 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 21:13 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Flames | 82 | 4 | 46 | 50 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 22:40 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| 2022-23 | Flames | 79 | 11 | 38 | 49 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 24:05 | 4 | 1 | 159 | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Flames | 78 | 9 | 30 | 39 | -11 | 47 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 23:50 | 3 | 1 | 159 | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Flames | 81 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -38 | 60 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 23:59 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Flames | 48 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 3 | 53 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 24:14 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Golden Knights | 33 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21:42 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Golden Knights | 20 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Golden Knights | 84 | 8 | 19 | 27 | — | 39 | — | 8 | — | 19:16 | — | — | 128 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 30 that is -2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Hampus Lindholm (2025-25) · Drew Doughty (2025-25) · Neal Pionk (2025-25) · Jonas Brodin (2025-25) · Jared Spurgeon (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 · @ DET | |||||
| P3 18:18 | EV | Assist | #? (Eichel, Andersson) → 2-1 | Stone · Eichel Hanifin · Andersson | Compher · Rasmussen · Danielson Chiarot · Seider Tarasov (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Rasmus over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lauzon VGK | 134 | 10 | |
| William Karlsson VGK | 67 | 10 | |
| Mitch Marner VGK | 61 | 10 | |
| Brett Howden VGK | 55 | 10 | |
| Braeden Bowman VGK | 55 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats