Logan Stankoven
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 74?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals34 × 3+102
- proj assists32 × 1+32
- PP points13 × 0.5+6.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots235 × 0.1+23.5
- PIM8 × 0.05+0.4
- ice time (min)1413 × 0.01+14.1
- total179 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242179 = 74/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 179 points is 74 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (20 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Hot window: 15.0 pts/10 over the last 6 vs 7.8/10 season baseline.
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 15 of 15 for CAR.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check overperforming O/U ▲ +9.9
- TRADE VALUE: ABOVE PACE — his stats are earning more trade value than his underlying play supports. Classic sell-high window.
- 19.6% shooting on 56 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 10.9% (411 shots before this season) — that's 4.9 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (6.1 expected goals). WAY over pace. His shrunk talent rate is 15.1%, worth PD +9.9 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- Sustained shooting at this level is historically rare — plan for the goals (and the points built on them) to cool off toward the baseline.
- His linemates (Blake 10.0%, Ehlers 10.9%, Miller 3.3%, Walker 7.7%) aren't running hot alongside him — the goal surge looks individual, so the assist regression risk is smaller than the goal risk.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Stars | 24 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:40 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 11.8% | 64.7% |
| 2024-25 | Stars | 59 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 15:06 | 4 | 0 | 148 | 6.1% | 46.4% |
| 2024-25 | Hurricanes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:04 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 10.9% | 20.0% |
| 2025-26 | Hurricanes | 81 | 21 | 23 | 44 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 15:27 | 3 | 0 | 166 | 12.7% | 44.3% |
| 2026-27 | Hurricanes | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16:49 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 19.6% | 45.6% |
| 84-G proj | Hurricanes | 84 | 34 | 32 | 67 | — | 22 | — | 11 | — | 16:12 | — | — | 192 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 23 that is 2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Logan Cooley (2025-25) · Josh Doan (2025-25) · Gabriel Landeskog (2025-25) · Cutter Gauthier (2025-25) · Anthony Mantha (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 · @ SEA | |||||
| P1 11:44 | EV | Assist | Ehlers (Miller, Stankoven) → 1-0 | Ehlers · Aho · Svechnikov · Stankoven · Blake Gostisbehere · Walker · Miller | Gaudreau · Kakko · Meyers · Wood · Catton Larsson · Montour · Dunn · Evans Grubauer (G) |
| P2 09:34 | EV | Assist | Valimaki (Stankoven) → 3-0 | Ehlers · Stankoven · Blake Gostisbehere · Valimaki | Stephenson · Gaudreau · Samoskevich Montour · Evans Grubauer (G) |
| Nov 7 · vs CHI | |||||
| P3 16:18 | EV | Assist | Gostisbehere (Nikishin, Stankoven) → 8-2 | Martinook · Ehlers · Robinson · Kotkaniemi · Jarvis · Stankoven Gostisbehere · Nikishin | Donato · Greenway · Smith · Nazar · Moore · Boucher Cole · Kaiser · Korchinski · Levshunov Soderblom (G) |
| Nov 5 · @ NYI | |||||
| P1 00:57 | EV | Goal | Stankoven (Blake, Miller) → 1-0 | Ehlers · Stankoven · Blake Walker · Miller | Schenn · Palat · Pageau · Duclair · Heineman · Eklund Pelech · DeAngelo Varlamov (G) |
| Nov 3 · @ NSH | |||||
| P2 10:28 | EV | Assist | Blake (Gostisbehere, Stankoven) → 1-2 | Carrier · Ehlers · Aho · Svechnikov · Stankoven · Blake Gostisbehere · Valimaki · Walker · Miller | Stamkos · O'Reilly · Bourque · Schaefer Josi · Skjei · Perbix · Wilsby Saros (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Logan over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Blake CAR | 126 | 10 | |
| Nikolaj Ehlers CAR | 86 | 10 | |
| K'Andre Miller CAR | 62 | 10 | |
| Sean Walker CAR | 60 | 10 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere CAR | 51 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats