Porter Martone
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 43?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals15 × 3+45
- proj assists22 × 1+22
- PP points16 × 0.5+8
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots120 × 0.1+12
- PIM80 × 0.05+4
- ice time (min)1193 × 0.01+11.9
- total103 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242103 = 43/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 103 points is 43 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (21 games so far). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 16 of 16 for PHI.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▼ −1.3
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 10.0% shooting on 30 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 13.3% (32 shots before this season) — that's 1.0 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (4.0 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 12.2%, worth PD −1.3 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Flyers | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17:02 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 12.5% | 33.3% |
| 2026-27 | Flyers | 21 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 10.0% | 30.0% |
| 84-G proj | Flyers | 84 | 15 | 22 | 37 | — | 66 | — | 9 | — | 14:34 | — | — | 129 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 20 that is 4%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 · vs MIN | |||||
| P3 01:48 | PP | Assist | Barkey (Martone, Zegras) → 2-3 | Tippett · Zegras · Foerster · Knuble · Barkey · Michkov · Martone York · Drysdale · Bonk | Trenin · Sturm · Brink · Yurov · Shabanov Bogosian · Brodin · Maatta · Hughes Wallstedt (G) |
| Nov 1 · vs UTA | |||||
| P1 12:49 | EV | Assist | Michkov (Cates, Martone) → 1-0 | Dvorak · Konecny · Cates · Zegras · Michkov · Martone Sanheim · Drysdale | Lee · Schmaltz · Keller · Carcone · Hayton · Guenther Schmidt · Weegar · Peeke · Sergachev Vejmelka (G) |
| Oct 27 · vs CBJ | |||||
| P2 09:59 | EV | Assist | Cates (Martone, #?) → 1-3 | Cates · Michkov · Martone York · Seeler | Sillinger · Monahan · Garland Christiansen · Mateychuk Talbot (G) |
| Oct 24 · vs ANA | |||||
| P3 08:17 | EV | Assist | Michkov (Martone, Cates) → 4-5 | Cates · Michkov · Martone Drysdale · Seeler | Nesterenko · Killorn · McQueen Hinds · Luneau Dostal (G) |
| P1 15:02 | PP | Goal | Martone (Sanheim, Zegras) → 2-0 | Dvorak · Zegras · Martone Sanheim · Bonk | Nesterenko · Washe LaCombe · Warren Dostal (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Porter over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov PHI | 109 | 10 | |
| Noah Cates PHI | 81 | 10 | |
| Jamie Drysdale PHI | 55 | 10 | |
| Nick Seeler PHI | 40 | 10 | |
| Oliver Bonk PHI | 40 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats