Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 42?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals5 × 3+15
- proj assists21 × 1+21
- PP points5 × 0.5+2.5
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots103 × 0.1+10.3
- PIM65 × 0.05+3.3
- ice time (min)1721 × 0.01+17.2
- total69 pool points · an elite defenseman season scores 16669 = 42/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best defensemen in the NHL — an elite season scores about 166 points, and that is what 100 means. So 69 points is 42 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (18 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 14 of 14 for BOS.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U • −0.1
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 4.5% shooting on 22 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 4.8% (797 shots before this season) — that's 0.1 goals below what his shot volume normally buys for him (1.1 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 4.8%, worth PD −0.1 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | Ducks | 78 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19:26 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 2014-15 | Ducks | 78 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 25 | 32 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 21:46 | 1 | 0 | 107 | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| 2015-16 | Ducks | 80 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 22:00 | 1 | 0 | 149 | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| 2016-17 | Ducks | 66 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 13 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 22:27 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 6.4% | 100.0% |
| 2017-18 | Ducks | 69 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 16 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 22:44 | 3 | 2 | 131 | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| 2018-19 | Ducks | 76 | 6 | 22 | 28 | -5 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 24:00 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 2019-20 | Ducks | 56 | 2 | 21 | 23 | -10 | 34 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 23:04 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| 2020-21 | Ducks | 18 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:02 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Ducks | 61 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22:32 | 1 | 0 | 119 | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Bruins | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:17 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2022-23 | Bruins | 80 | 10 | 43 | 53 | 49 | 56 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 23:11 | 2 | 1 | 158 | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| 2023-24 | Bruins | 73 | 3 | 23 | 26 | 18 | 63 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 23:17 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024-25 | Bruins | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:51 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Bruins | 67 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 3 | 58 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 21:37 | 2 | 0 | 100 | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Bruins | 19 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:31 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Bruins | 84 | 5 | 21 | 26 | — | 59 | — | 4 | — | 19:55 | — | — | 103 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 32 that is -3%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Jonas Brodin (2025-25) · Hampus Lindholm (2025-25) · Neal Pionk (2025-25) · Timothy Liljegren (2025-25) · Oliver Kylington (2023-23).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 · @ PIT | |||||
| P2 16:57 | EV | Assist | #? (Lindholm) → 5-2 | Kuraly · Jeannot Lindholm · McAvoy | Rakell · Brazeau · Lapierre Karlsson · Stastney Silovs (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Hampus over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy BOS | 172 | 10 | |
| David Pastrnak BOS | 87 | 10 | |
| Pavel Zacha BOS | 70 | 9 | |
| JJ Peterka BOS | 69 | 10 | |
| Fraser Minten BOS | 54 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats