
Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 88?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals33 × 3+99
- proj assists43 × 1+43
- PP points37 × 0.5+18.5
- game-winning goals5 × 0.5+2.5
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots268 × 0.1+26.8
- PIM74 × 0.05+3.7
- ice time (min)1807 × 0.01+18.1
- total212 pool points · an elite forward season scores 242212 = 88/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 212 points is 88 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (16 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Every night: in the lineup for all of the team's last 10 games.
- Availability: every game this season — 13 of 13 for LAK.
- Veteran card: age 35 — minutes and back-to-back load worth watching down the stretch.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Finishing check on pace O/U ▲ +1.8
- TRADE VALUE: AT PACE — trade value is what the numbers say it is.
- 15.7% shooting on 51 shots against HIS OWN career baseline of 14.3% (1879 shots before this season) — that's 0.7 goals above what his shot volume normally buys for him (7.3 expected goals). on pace. His shrunk talent rate is 14.9%, worth PD +1.8 goals per 84 over/under his own standard.
- His goals track his shot volume almost exactly — what you see is what you have.
Model: goals vs shot volume vs live league position baselines; talent SH% is an empirical-Bayes shrinkage of the season…
His shooting talent is estimated by shrinking his season shooting percentage toward his league position mean in proportion to sample size (kappa pseudo-shots prior), then projecting the gap over 84 games at his current shot volume. Small samples stay near zero — the number only moves when the evidence does.
The method follows published hockey-analytics research: a shooter is judged against his own career shooting percentage, because a player's own career rate predicts his next goals better than any league average (“Expected by Whom? A Skill-Adjusted Expected Goals Model for NHL Shooters and Goaltenders,” arXiv:2511.07703). Thin careers (rookies) shrink toward the league mean for the position, and the season number is shrunk toward the player's own anchor with empirical-Bayes weights — Nandakumar & Jensen (2019), Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, doi:10.1146/annurev-statistics-030718-105202. This section is about the gap between luck and his pace, not talent.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | Blackhawks | 80 | 30 | 47 | 77 | 8 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 18:31 | 7 | 1 | 187 | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| 2016-17 | Blackhawks | 82 | 31 | 43 | 74 | 18 | 21 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 19:28 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 14.7% | 20.0% |
| 2017-18 | Blue Jackets | 81 | 27 | 55 | 82 | 23 | 26 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 20:08 | 5 | 1 | 228 | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 2018-19 | Blue Jackets | 79 | 28 | 59 | 87 | 14 | 23 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 19:51 | 8 | 4 | 191 | 14.7% | 25.0% |
| 2019-20 | Rangers | 69 | 32 | 63 | 95 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 20:36 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 15.3% | 50.0% |
| 2020-21 | Rangers | 42 | 17 | 41 | 58 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 19:39 | 1 | 0 | 106 | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| 2021-22 | Rangers | 75 | 22 | 74 | 96 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 19:13 | 5 | 1 | 177 | 12.4% | 50.0% |
| 2022-23 | Rangers | 82 | 29 | 63 | 92 | 4 | 36 | 9 | 36 | 0 | 19:36 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 14.2% | 31.6% |
| 2023-24 | Rangers | 82 | 49 | 71 | 120 | 18 | 24 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 20:07 | 5 | 1 | 303 | 16.2% | 10.0% |
| 2024-25 | Rangers | 80 | 37 | 52 | 89 | -9 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 19:41 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| 2025-26 | Rangers | 52 | 19 | 38 | 57 | -16 | 14 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 20:55 | 3 | 0 | 158 | 12.0% | 100.0% |
| 2025-26 | Kings | 26 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20:42 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 2026-27 | Kings | 17 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -6 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 21:27 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| 84-G proj | Kings | 84 | 33 | 43 | 76 | — | 60 | — | 26 | — | 18:48 | — | — | 207 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 35 that is -7%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Comparable player-seasons: Brady Tkachuk (2025-25) · Jake Guentzel (2025-25) · Kyle Connor (2025-25) · Roope Hintz (2025-25) · Sebastian Aho (2025-25).
Goals — with the line
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 · vs PIT | |||||
| P1 09:55 | EV | Assist | Perry (Anderson, Panarin) → 1-2 | Perry · Laughton · Panarin · Turcotte · Lee · Laferriere Dumoulin · Gustafsson · Anderson · Clarke | Brazeau · Dewar · Lizotte · Robertson · Lapierre · Koivunen Letang · Girard · Korczak · Carlile Murashov (G) |
| Nov 4 · vs SJS | |||||
| P1 01:23 | EV | Assist | Kempe (Panarin, Doughty) → 1-0 | Laughton · Kempe · Panarin · Lee · Laferriere · Chromiak Doughty · Edmundson · Gustafsson · Clarke | Marchment · Sherwood · Bystedt · Graf · Misa · Stenberg Orlov · Trouba · Pohlkamp · Dickinson Askarov (G) |
| P1 18:38 | PP | Assist | Byfield (Panarin, Kempe) → 3-0 | Haula · Armia · Kempe · Panarin · Byfield · Laferriere · Connors Doughty · Edmundson · Gustafsson | Sherwood · Ostapchuk · Smith · Celebrini · Graf Trouba · Nurse · Kesselring · Dickinson Askarov (G) |
| P2 15:51 | PP | Assist | Kempe (Laferriere, Panarin) → 5-1 | Haula · Armia · Kempe · Panarin · Byfield · Laferriere · Connors Dumoulin · Gustafsson · Anderson | Sherwood · Smith · Celebrini · Graf · Misa Orlov · Nurse · Kesselring · Pohlkamp Askarov (G) |
| P3 14:28 | PP | Assist | Byfield (Panarin, Gustafsson) → 7-2 | Haula · Armia · Kempe · Panarin · Byfield · Laferriere · Connors Dumoulin · Gustafsson · Anderson | Goodrow · Smith · Celebrini · Graf · Misa Orlov · Nurse · Kesselring · Pohlkamp Askarov (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Artemi over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe LAK | 153 | 9 | |
| Alex Laferriere LAK | 150 | 10 | |
| Brandt Clarke LAK | 90 | 10 | |
| Quinton Byfield LAK | 85 | 10 | |
| Erik Gustafsson LAK | 76 | 7 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats