Points by season
Career NHL points, ending with the 84-game projection (violet).
Pool value
Projected full-season fantasy worth.
why 32?
Each row is one fantasy category turned into points over a full 84-game season. Add the rows up and that is his total fantasy worth.
- proj goals12 × 3+36
- proj assists21 × 1+21
- PP points0 × 0.5+0
- game-winning goals0 × 0.5+0
- OT goals0 × 0.25+0
- shots90 × 0.1+9
- PIM26 × 0.05+1.3
- ice time (min)1022 × 0.01+10.2
- total78 pool points · an elite forward season scores 24278 = 32/100
Weights follow what the average fantasy league actually counts: goals at 3× assists (the universal core), power-play points and game-winners at half weight (common extra categories), OT goals, shots and PIM small (many leagues skip them), and ice time as a quiet availability bonus. The scale: add up a whole season of those categories and compare against the best forwards in the NHL — an elite season scores about 242 points, and that is what 100 means. So 78 points is 32 out of a perfect fantasy season at his position. Defensemen and forwards are graded on separate scales because the D slot can only be filled by a defenseman. Goals and assists come from the backtested season model; the rest ride your own season-to-date pace over 84 games (13 games so far — small sample, secondary lines will move as roles settle). Hits/blocks are excluded: the free NHL feeds don't publish full-season totals, and we don't invent them.
The Situation
- Trust is growing: 13:15/game over the last 6, up 22% from 10:52 earlier in the season.
- Did not play the last 7 games (healthy scratch or injury — check the club report before rostering).
- Availability: played 9 of 16 for OTT — missed 7 games (2026-11-04, 2026-11-07, 2026-11-10, 2026-11-12, …).
- Ironman warning: multiple absences already — treat nightly projections for this player as low-confidence.
- Not on the NHL Status Report — recent absences were healthy scratches or coach's decisions unless a wire note says otherwise.
Every line is measured from our own boxscore ledger; absence reasons from the NHL Status Report and our transaction wire only — no insider guessing.
Season stats
NHL regular-season totals, season by season. The 84-G proj line extends the current season with our public model — methodology in the caption below the table.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | PPG | PPP | SHG | TOI/GP | GWG | OTG | S | S% | FOW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | Hurricanes | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 2018-19 | Hurricanes | 77 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -17 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 3 | 0 | 106 | 9.4% | 47.6% |
| 2019-20 | Hurricanes | 68 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:43 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 10.1% | 47.4% |
| 2020-21 | Hurricanes | 53 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 11.0% | 51.4% |
| 2021-22 | Oilers | 82 | 12 | 14 | 26 | -9 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:37 | 3 | 0 | 142 | 8.5% | 46.4% |
| 2022-23 | Oilers | 67 | 13 | 15 | 28 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 4 | 0 | 126 | 10.3% | 53.8% |
| 2023-24 | Oilers | 82 | 20 | 21 | 41 | 3 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:59 | 2 | 0 | 201 | 10.0% | 45.5% |
| 2024-25 | Kings | 82 | 24 | 22 | 46 | 36 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:10 | 7 | 0 | 199 | 12.1% | 40.7% |
| 2025-26 | Kings | 47 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 9.0% | 37.5% |
| 2025-26 | Senators | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:35 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 22.2% | 83.3% |
| 2026-27 | Senators | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7.1% | 28.6% |
| 84-G proj | Senators | 84 | 12 | 21 | 33 | — | 34 | — | 1 | — | 13:37 | — | — | 117 | — | — |
84-G proj — current pace blended with the player's own history (recent seasons weighted heaviest), mixed with a similarity projection from historical players with comparable profiles, then adjusted for the aging curve (league-average peak at 27; decline after) — at age 30 that is -2%. Dashes mark stats the model doesn't project.
Goals — with the line
Lines shown for the 6 of 9 recent games inside the league's tracking archive.
| Time | ST | Type | Goal | His line | Opp ice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 · vs SJS | |||||
| P1 06:16 | EV | Assist | Stützle (Batherson, Foegele) → 1-0 | Stützle · Batherson · Cozens · Foegele Spence · Kleven | Stenberg · Sherwood · Misa Kesselring · Nurse Askarov (G) |
| Oct 21 · vs FLA | |||||
| P3 07:58 | EV | Goal | Foegele (Cozens, Batherson) → 4-1 | Foegele · Batherson · Cozens Matinpalo · Yakemchuk | Eller · Verhaeghe · Vilmanis Kulikov · Gudas Schmid (G) |
| Oct 15 · vs NYI | |||||
| P2 15:43 | EV | Assist | Greig (Foegele, Zub) → 1-1 | Foegele · Amadio · Greig Kleven · Zub | Palmieri · Schenn · Ritchie DeAngelo · Schaefer Varlamov (G) |
Line mates
Teammates sharing the most ice time with Warren over the last 10 games — reconstructed shift-by-shift from the NHL's official timing feed (goalies excluded).
| Player | Shared min | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spence OTT | 56 | 10 | |
| Drake Batherson OTT | 47 | 10 | |
| Tim Stützle OTT | 47 | 9 | |
| Thomas Chabot OTT | 43 | 9 | |
| Tyler Kleven OTT | 40 | 10 |
Data via the public NHL API · 2026 Pro Hockey Stats